The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Tue Jan 02 2007
Day273Month10Week1.2Phase06CDay61

Another 'one horse' day?
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday)
5 for my short-list [1W-2PL-1L-1N/R]: 1 x Row 2, 4 x Place Only II
My Odds stats for the win are encouraging on OAFAREL D'AIRY/WON, not that this guarantees anything. My "Majority" stat is strongest on it, too, the rest good-ish or contradictory (therefore indifferent). Aside from on Oafarel and on the major subscription tip, if any, I shall not be holding my breath.
OUTCOME Pleased to have made a modestly decent profit but the "one horse" was not Oafarel d'Airy     BASIC PLAN +8 (within OVERALL +25)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Jan Week 1.3 Day 274 (Phase C: Day 62)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +17 @ an average this Phase of +c0/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-459 points gross @ an average of -c8/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' So far, anyway). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Jan '07: 2 B/pl (2 O/a) Dec '06: 16 (11) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I introduced a month or so ago on the basis that "if I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])   

 My "Glossary on the Philosophy" is at the base of this entry.

Row 1 - No qualifier

Row 2
200 Folk. OAFAREL D'AIRY/Won F/c 1/10 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 1.32 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 11.00 (12W1L - I call this "11") Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.60
Bets: Token Basic, Capped token FS (starting on Rung 2) + Mop Up, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1 normally, today a tiny enhancement of the Basic bet), Capped Place Only, 123 & Xtra  Combos (Seq. Doubles today), Total Combo + Xtras if any, Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups on short-listed runners (including CATEGORICAL/LOST, LUCKY NELLERIE/2ND, THE WHISPERER/Non run & SUPREME HUNTRESS/2ND), Short-List (Place Only) Combo, Mistakes: Accidental tiny win bet on THE WHISPERER/Non run instead of on CAREFREE/WON as part of Xtra Combo, Discrepancy (*-0.90), added Ad hoc Remedial Supplementary (2nd rung) on THE ABBOTS HABIT/WON     BASIC PLAN +4 plus OVERALL [*+17] *adjusted to +16

Row 3
140 Ayr. THE WHISPERER/NON RUN F/c 5/4 Included on Support (2xNaps)
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos as per Row 2     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.19]

Place Only I - on Row 2 and
SoutA: CAREFREE/Won
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo (Seq. Double - forgot 2nd bet)     BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only II
Ayr: CATEGORICAL/Lost - LUCKY NELLERIE/2nd - THE WHISPERER/nr
Folk: SUPREME HUNTRESS/2nd/COUNT BORIS/3RD
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +2

Naps I
OAFAREL D'AIRY/Won - see above
Bets: Capped Basic, 'Double' (a tiny enhancement of the Basic bet today), 2-Row 'Double' (with Row 1 normally, today a further tiny enhancement of the Basic bet), Total Combo     BASIC PLAN +2

Naps II
SUPREME HUNTRESS/2nd (Double stake)
Bets: Total Combo    BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.27]

My Lay bets - Discontinued for the time being

Fancies - on all the above (except Count Boris) and all, or from,
SoutA: MISS HOLLY/2ND - DIXIELAND BOY//WON
Bets: Tiny Multi Fancy (WDoubles/WTrebles) + Xtras
Ayr: LUCKY NELLERIE/2nd/GETINBYBUTONLYJUST/WON - THE WHISPERER/nr/THE ABBOTS HABIT/Won
Folk: SUPREME HUNTRESS/2nd/COUNT BORIS/3rd
Bets: 2x2 Doubles, 2x2x2 Trebles     OVERALL +1

Tips
1) No Main tip [Bet: Against advice. (These are purely win tips, usually.) Split Small Win/Place Only, to grand total of ? points]    [OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over jumps (Good words) at Ayr: CATEGORICAL/Lost - Folk: OAFAREL D'AIRY/Won - GERRARD/3RD - no bet - VILLA MARA/LOST - no bet
Bets: Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN (-0.37)]
3) Other tips (not USA Naps): DECIDEDLY GREEK F/c 25/1 520 Newm(RSA/Late result - see tomorrow
Bet: Tiny win     [OVERALL N/A]