The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Mon Jan 01 2007
Day272Month10Week1.1Phase06CDay60

Could be good
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday)
6 for my short-list [4W-2PL]: 2 x Row 2, 1 x Row 3, 1 x Place Only I, 2 x Place Only II
My Odds stats for the wins are encouraging, not that this guarantees anything. My "Majority" stats, again, are strong, also hinting that the day could go well. However, only MISTER QUASIMODO/WON is unopposed in the RP Selection Boxes, hinting instead that it could very easily end disappointingly. Cautious optimism seems OK to have about these qualifiers, however. Though not always right, my stats 'say' on balance that doubt centres on how profitable the day may prove rather than whether profit accrues. Proved to be about right
OUTCOME A couple of good results short of ending significantly better     BASIC PLAN +14 (within OVERALL +33)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Jan Week 1.2 Day 273 (Phase C: Day 61)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +9 @ an average this Phase of +c0/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-484 points gross @ an average of -c8/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' So far, anyway). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Jan '07: 1 B/pl (1 O/a) Dec '06: 16 (11) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "if I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])   

Row 1 - No qualifier

Row 2
140 Chel. MY WAY DE SOLZEN/WON F/c 10/11 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 2.00 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.32 Old stat stakes enhancer x 2.00
225 Exet. MISTER QUASIMODO/Won F/c 1/4 Min val odds + 20% = 1.33 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 10.00 (11W1L - I call this "10")
Bets: Token Basic, Token FS (starting on Rung 4) + Mop Ups, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1 normally, today a small Seq. Double), Place Only (Capped about Quasimodo), the 3 Combos + LateXtra, Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups on short-listed runners (including GENTLEMAN'S DEAL/WON & QUARTANO/WON), Short-List (Place Only) Combo (including these and DREAM ALLIANCE/2ND), Mistakes, Discrepancy (*-0.61)     BASIC PLAN +5 plus OVERALL [*+23] *adjusted to +22

Row 3
405 Exet. R'CAM/3RD F/c 4/5 Min val odds + 20% = 2.00 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.60 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.61
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos + LateXtra     BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only I - on Rows 2&3 and
Exet: DREAM ALLIANCE/2nd
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo + LateXtra     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.46]

Place Only II
Chel: QUARTANO/Won
Exet: OLIMPO/FELL - no bet
SoutA: GENTLEMAN'S DEAL/WON - (Added) VERY WISE/LOST
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +2

Naps I
MY WAY DE SOLZEN/Won (Triple stake) - see above
Bets: Capped Basic, 'Double' (a tiny enhancement of the Basic bet today), 2-Row 'Double' (with Row 1 normally, today a further tiny enhancement of the Basic bet), Total Combo     BASIC PLAN +5

Naps II
SoutA: GENTLEMAN'S DEAL/Won (Double stake)
Bets: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN +1

My Lay bets - Discontinued for the time being

Fancies - on all the above (except Olimpo & Very Wise) and all, or from,
Catt: POKER DE SIVOLA/WON - no bet
Chel: PARSON'S LEGACY/LOST
Exet: LEADING AUTHORITY/WON
SoutA: RUSE/LOST - TAG TEAM/LOST
Bets: Tiny Multi Fancy (EWTrebles) + Xtra Again disappointed. A couple of these were a touch dodgy: an error to have included them, I feel, in retrospect. I'm near to discontinuing this bet. Would do brilliantly well on a good day, though.      OVERALL -14

Tips
1) Main tip BEARE NECESSITIES/3RD F/c 11/4 250 Chel
Bet: (Against advice, by the way. These are purely win tips, usually.) Split Small Win/Place Only, to grand total of 15 points Bank further reduced again today.
This tipster service's 17th consecutive loser. Thought it highly dodgy - backed it almost out of disbelief. The bank continues in credit, however. Not for much longer, though, at the present rate of negative progress. Thank goodness for the 'damage limitation' route I've pursued throughout this dismal run! (In advance, for the big priced winner I'm so overdue to miss, "OUCH!")     [OVERALL +7]
2) Endorsements over jumps (Good words) at Exet: MISTER QUASIMODO/Won    [OVERAL +1]
3) Other tips (not USA Naps) : USA Nap added after all: POLITICAL CAT F/c 2/1 610 Turf/LOST
Bet: 2 Point win     [OVERALL -2]