2006-Dec-31
Diary for Dec 31 2006
Day271Month09Week4.7+1Phase06CDay59
One horse day?
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday)
1 for my short-list: PABLO DU CHARMIL/WON (Row 1)
My Odds stats for the win are most encouraging, not that this guarantees anything.
I've received no main tip today, so I'm reliant on Pablo.
OUTCOME Mostly made right decisions today, so, not "a one horse day." I have learned to count myself lucky when this happens. Betting on race horses seems to be one of those activities in the pursuit of which you can do all the 'right' things and still lose. So, the other side of the coin is, I feel, you should never congratulate yourself too roundly when things go well BASIC PLAN +27 (within OVERALL +37)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Jan Week 1.1 Day 272 (Phase C: Day 60)
Going into 2007 I almost got to 'break even' this Phase on Basic Plan!
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -5 @ an average this Phase of -c0/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-518 points gross @ an average of -c9/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' So far, anyway). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 16 B/pln (11 o/all) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "if I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1
205 Warw. PABLO DU CHARMIL/Won F/c 4/9 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 1.33 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.67 Old stat stakes enhancer (Sundays) x 1.60
Bets: Token Basic, Capped Star + Mop Up, 2-Row 'Double' & 'Treble' (both enhancements of the Basic bet as there is no 2nd qualifier), Place Only, 123 Combo (Seq. Double), Total Combo + Xtras if any, Xtra Combo (enhancement of the Basic bet) Withdrawals decimated my Betfair bets and I hadn't compensated. Happily, as usual with major Win bets, I had placed 1/3rd of my stake with Centrebet @ SPPlus and this part of my bet benefitted from the better (late on improved) SP BASIC PLAN +7
Row 2 - No qualifer
Bets (Row 2): Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up on Pablo du Charmil, Short-List (Place Only) Combo on it, too, Mistakes, Discrepancy (Negligible) OVERALL EVEN [+0.30]
Row 3
105 Warw. PASSENGER OMAR/WON F/c 13/8 Included due to Support (2xNaps)
Bets: 123 Combo (Seq. Double), Total Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN +4
Place Only I - on Row 1
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.37]
Place Only II
Warw: SCHUH SHINE/WON/MOORLANDS RETURN/2ND - PASSENGER OMAR/WON - LA DAME BRUNE/WON
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +2
Naps I
PABLO DU CHARMIL/Won (Triple stake) - see above
Bets: Capped Basic, 2-Row 'Double' (with Row 1), Total Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN +6
Naps II
1235 Warw. SCHUH SHINE/Won F/c 7/4 - LA DAME BRUNE/Won F/c 5/4 (Double stake)
Bets: Total Combo + Xtras if any BASIC PLAN +8
My Lay bets - Discontinued for the time being
Fancies - on all the above (except Moorlands Return) and
Warw: INDIGO SKY/LOST - 4th
Wolv: SOFT MORNING/2ND - Photo
Bets: Tiny Multi Fancy (EWDoubles, EWTrebles) + Xtra "Close but no cigar" OVERALL +4
Tips
1) No Main tip [Bet: Split tiny Win/Place Only, to grand total of ? points] [OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements over jumps (Good words) at Warw: PABLO DU CHARMIL/Won - LA DAME BRUNE/Won - FLASH CUMMINS/3RD [OVERALL +4]
3) Other tips (not USA Naps)
Added a USA tip after all: PATRONISE F/c 12/1 Fair/2ND (@ circa 20/1) - from yesterday
MISS LOVITA F/c 4/10 1145 Clai(RSA/WON
Bets: Tiny win on Patronise, Small win (2pts) on Miss Lovita [OVERALL +1]
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