2006-Dec-27
Diary for Dec 27 2006
Day267Month09Week4.4(Phase06CDay55)
Might be all right
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday)
4 for my short-list [3W-1PL]: 1 each for Rows 1, 2 & 3. (I've rejected the 4th [WON].) My stats for the win are encouraging but, unusually, I've rejected, in the end, all other runners that I'd pencilled in.
OUTCOME Gain on Basic Plan, deficit Overall, as per what seems to becoming usual BASIC PLAN +12 (within OVERALL -25)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 4.5 Day 268 (Phase C: Day 56)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -97 @ an average this Phase of -c2/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-562 points gross @ an average of -c10/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' So far, anyway). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 15 B/pln (10 o/all) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "if I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1
255 Weth. FEARLESS FOURSOME/WON F/c 1/2 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 1.95 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.33 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.95
Bets: Token Basic, Star, 2-Row Double (with Naps 1 normally but today an enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 2, today a tiny Double), the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN +11
Row 2
1200 SoutA. CHARLIE DELTA/2ND F/c 1/2 Min value odds + 20% = 1.60 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.38 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.34
Bets: Token Basic, FS (Rung 4) + Mop Up, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1, a tiny Double today), Place Only, the 3 Combos, Short-List (Place Only) Combo, Mistakes, Discrepancy (Negligible?), Xtra Combos, if any BASIC PLAN -1 plus OVERALL -23
Row 3
105 SoutA. SISTER ETIENNE/WON F/c Min val odds + 20% = 1.84 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.73 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.64
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I - on Rows 1 (Fearless Foursome just in Xtra Combo), 2 & 3 and
Bet: Basic, Capped Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only II - No qualifier
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
Kemp: VOY POR USTEDES/WON
Weth: ETOILE RUSSE/LOST
Bets: Total Combo BASIC PLAN -1
My Lay bets - Discontinued for the time being
Fancies
Chep: KINBURN/LOST-LORDOFOUROWN/4TH
Bets: Tiny EW Anti-post OVERALL EVEN [+0.10]
Tips
1) Main tip was SIMON (EW/LOST Fc 10-1 205 Chep
Bet: Split tiny Win/Place Only, to grand total of 15 points] [OVERALL -15]
2) Endorsements over jumps (Good words) at Weth: FEARLESS FOURSOME
Bets: Small win [OVERALL +1]
3) No other tips (not USA Naps - now, here, discontinued) [Bets: Small win] [OVERALL NA]
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