2006-Dec-25
Diary for Dec 26 2006
Day266Month09Week4.3(Phase06CDay54)
Another 'maybe easy to get wrong & I might-ve' kind of complicated day
PROSPECTS (as they seemed yesterday)
8 for my short-list [2W-3PL-3L]: 2 in Row 2, 3 in Row 3, 3 in Place Only I.
I have no 'Naps I' selections, nor have I really emphatic stats for the win in my short-list except on DAY TO REMEMBER/LOST (Row 2) - the rest, however, are "not bad."
I am un-confident in my findings today but hopeful of a profit.
OUTCOME A disappointing day that began well BASIC PLAN -22 (within OVERALL -59)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 4.4 Day 267 (Phase C: Day 55)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -109 @ an average this Phase of -c2/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-537 points gross @ an average of -c10/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' So far, anyway). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 14 B/pln (10 o/all) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that
"if I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2
1250 Weth. DAY TO REMEMBER/Lost F/c Evs Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 1.84 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.36 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.17
320 MarkR. STOLEN MOMENTS/2ND F/c Evs Min val odds + 20% = 2.00 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.38 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.34
Bets: Token Basic, FS (starting on Rung 2) + Mop Ups, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1 normally but a tiny Double today), Place Only, the 3 Combos, Short-List (Place Only) Combo (incl. SEAFIRE LAD/WON (in "a bad race"), THENFORD STAR/3RD & KING KILLONE/LOST), Mistakes (one by omission, annoyingly: not accounted), Discrepancy (Negligible), 123/1 & Total/1 Combos 'Minority of 1' selections in the RP Selection Boxes for both these races won BASIC PLAN -7 plus OVERALL -25
Row 3
220 Kemp. KAUTO STAR/WON F/c 4/7 Min val odds + 20% = 2.00 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.62 Old stat stakes enhancer 1.36
250 MarkR. CAMDEN GEORGE/2ND F/c Evs Min val odds + 20% = 2.20 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.96 Old stat stakes enhancer 1.17
330 Towc. WHAT A BUZZ/LOST F/c 7/4 Min val odds + 20% = 2.29 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.73 Old stat stakes enhancer 1.36
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN -6
Place Only I - on Rows 2 & 3 and
Hunt: THENFORD STAR/Awarded 2ND by SEnq.
MarkR: SEAFIRE LAD/Won
Sedg: TOP CLOUD/WON
Towc: ONYOURHEADBEIT/LOST
Weth: KING KILLONE/LOST
Wolv: REGAL RIBAND/LOST (Xtra Combo only) - MARCO JADEO/LOST
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only II
Hunt: GOOD LINE/PU - I think
Weth: ELA RE/WON
Winc: TORA BORA/LOST - KING CAINE/2ND
Bet: Basic BASIC PLAN -4
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
Kemp: STRAW BEAR/LOST (Double stake) - KAUTO STAR/Won
Weth: KING KILLONE/Lost
Bets: Total Combo, Total/1 Combo BASIC PLAN -3
My Lay bets - Discontinued for the time being
Fancies - all the above (except Place Only II, Camden George & - omitted in error - What a Buzz) and
Kemp: KICKS FOR FREE/3RD
Sedg: SABREFLIGHT/3RD
Winc: OBELIX DE LONGECHAUX/3RD
Bets: Multi Fancy (Tiny EWDoubles on 14 selections - totalling 18 points)
Hunt: CHRISTDALO/3RD /BALLY CONN/LOST
Weth: SPEEDRO/3RD /STAGECOACH OPAL/WON
Bet: 2x2 WDoubles (totalling 12 points) OVERALL -23
Tips
1) Main tip was OSCAR JACK/3RD F/c 4/1 115 Towc.
Bet: Split tiny Win/Place Only, to grand total of 20 points [OVERALL +8]
2) Endorsements over jumps (Good words) at Kemp: KAUTO STAR/Won - Towc: CHOPNEYEV/2ND - Hunt: THENFORD STAR/2nd - MarkR: STOLEN MOMENTS/2nd
Bets: Place Only [OVERALL +4]
3) No other tips to hand (but would not include USA Naps - now, here, discontinued)
Bets: Small win [OVERALL N/A]
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