The Totopoly Kid - Diary for Dec 22 2006

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Diary for Dec 22 2006

Results of bets on Fri Dec 22 2006
Day264Month09Week4.1(Phase06CDay52)

Bit of a blow out day
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
2 for my short-list, 1 each for Place Only I & II. My stats are especially encouraging of the win on PERUVIAN PRINCE/2ND (Place Only I) but it is opposed by Newmarket and a Nap and this is enough for me not to trust it in a main Row.
OUTCOME     BASIC PLAN -16 (within OVERALL -15)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 4.2 Day 265 (Phase C: Day 53)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -92 @ an average this Phase of -c2/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-514 points gross @ an average of -c10/day deary me (or should I say 'dreary?' So far). Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 11 B/pln (7 o/all) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "If I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])

Rows 1, 2 & 3 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Short-List (Place Only) Combo (incl. ITALIAN ROMANCE/LOST), Mistakes: Win bet on Italian Romance/Lost instead of Artzola/NON RUN (within Xtra Combo) - EWTrebles instead of EW4-Fold accum. (within Total Combo), Discrepancy (*Nil)     OVERALL -5

Place Only I
KempA: ARTZOLA/Non run
Wolv: PERUVIAN PRINCE/2nd
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo (Seq. Double today - became win bet on Peruvian Prince)     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only II
Here: INISHTURK/LOST
KempA: NOT TOO TAXING/LOST - KILMEENA MAGIC/3RD
Wolv: ITALIAN ROMANCE/Lost
Bet: Basic     BASIC PLAN -5

Naps I - No selection
Naps II
INISHTURK/Lost (Double stake) - ARTZOLA/Non run - ITALIAN ROMANCE/Lost - PERUVIAN PRINCE/2nd (Triple stake) - see above
Bets: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -9

My Lay bets - Discontinued for the time being

Fancies - all the above (except Not Too Taxing & Kilmeena Magic) and
Here: ANSHABIL/WON - JOAACI/WON
LingA: WAVERTREE WARRIOR/LOST - MELPOMENE/WON
Wolv: SOVEREIGNTY/LOST - ELHAREER/WON
Bets: Multi Fancies (EWDoubles)     OVERALL +4

Tips
1) No Main tip [Bet: Split small Win/Place Only, to grand total of ? points]     [OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements (Good words) on (Here.) JOAACI/WON - INISHTURK/Lost
Bets: Place Only     [OVERALL +1]
3) No Other tips (Not USA Naps - now discontinued)
Bets: Small win     [OVERALL N/A]

2 comments | add a comment

2006-Dec-22

peruvian prince to place

Anonymous
Well done Nigel, your triple stake recommendation for peruvian prince to place but not nesecarily to win made me go for the second favourite at 9/2 - to win. My bet won and so did yours!
Happy Christmas!

Thanks but the Triple stake recommendation was for what I call my Total Combo (win bets) multiple, not for a single bet To Place. It was an inconsistency I tolerated for my Naps II row because 3 of the Naps Table tipsters had tipped it to win.
But your bet was a good one, I see, in the sense that, with a Triple nap existing, a value bet on the main rival was likely a good bet. I had not thought of this interpretation of my research findings, but I note it for the future.
Best wishes
Nigel

Edited by nigel on 2006-Dec-23 at 2:54 AM

2006-Dec-22

<i>Untitled Comment</i>

Anonymous
Thanks Nigel
I apologise for the spelling of necessarily.
You're a star who will go far.

Thanks, going far in my retirement would be quite something, eh?!
from Nigel

Edited by nigel on 2006-Dec-23 at 6:25 PM

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