The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Mon Dec 18 2006
Day260Month09Week3.4(Phase06CDay48)

Modestly good today, as predicted
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
2 in my short-list, both Row 1
OUTCOME Disappointing "Place Only" rows & (rather unconvincing so far as a fairly recent addition) the "Fancies" one     BASIC PLAN +29 (within OVERALL +20)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 3.5 Day 261 (Phase C: Day 49)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -79 @ an average this Phase of -c2/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-518 points gross @ an average of -c11/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 10 B/pln (5 o/all) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "If I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])

Row 1
105 Taun. IL DUCE/WON F/c 8/13 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20% = 1.61 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 1.86 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.53 The forecast odds with the 2nd Fav are pretty close. Usually I relegate a qualifier for this but I've made an exception due to clear-cut support for it in the Press (Majority stat: 78W51L)
405 Wolv. PERUVIAN PRINCE/WON F/c 1/2 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20% = 2.03 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 1.92 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.53 Usually I put All Weather qualifiers no higher than Row 2. I've made an exception due to its Support (4xNaps,2xNBs)
Bets: Basic, Star + Mop Up, 2-Row Sequential Double (with Naps I), 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 2 but today an enhancement of the existing Seq. Double), Place Only, 123 & Xtra Combos (enhancements of the existing Seq. Double), Total Combo + Xtras if any     BASIC PLAN +12

Row 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Short-List (Place Only) Combo (Seq. Place Only Double), Mistakes: tiny correction of slight under-bet on EWDoubles part of the Total Combo + an unnecessary tiny correction of the EWTreble part, Discrepancy (*-1.17)     OVERALL [+2] *adjusted to +1

Row 3 - No qualifier

Place Only I - on Row 1
Bet: Basic, Seq. Xtra Combo     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only II
KempA: MIKIMOTO/LOST
Taun: FREDENSBORG/3RD - ABRAGANTE/WON - BUMPER/LOST - THE LUDER/UR
Bet: Basic     BASIC PLAN -4

Naps I
IL DUCE/Won & (Triple stake on) PERUVIAN PRINCE/Won
Bets: Basic, Seq. Double, Seq. 2-Row Double (with Row 1), Total Combo     BASIC PLAN +15

Naps II
Taun: BUMPER/LOST (Double stake)
Bets: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -1

My Lay bets - Discontinued for the time being

Fancies - all the above (except The Luder) and
KempA: EL POTRO/LOST
Taun: DILLAY BROOK/LOST
Bet: Tiny Multi Fancy (EWDoubles)     OVERALL -9

Tips
1) No Main tip [Bet: Split Win/Place Only, to grand total of ? points]     [OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements (Good words - but not overwhelmingly so) on DILLAY BROOK/Lost - FREDENSBORG/3rd - ABRAGANTE/Won - BUMPER/Lost
Bets: No bets Correct decision this time, just about     [OVERALL N/A]
3) Other tips: TWISTING ROAD F/c 5/1 925 Fair(USA/LOST - from yesterday
No1 STRONG N SILENT F/c 5/2 525 Phil(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Small win     [OVERALL -1]