2006-Dec-16
Diary for Dec 16 2006
Day258Month09Week3.2(Phase06CDay46)
Another 'Laura Luck' day
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
5 in short-list headed by SWEENEY/WON (Row 3), partly on Support (1xNap[Newmarket],1xNB).
MIGHTY MAN/WON is located in Place Only I, CUPID'S GLORY/NON RUN in Place Only II, THE RING/2ND in Fancies, ALBERTAS RUN/LOST disregarded.
OUTCOME: Sadly, the subscription tip cost me an overall profit. Always extra disappointing when this happens BASIC PLAN +4 (within OVERALL -5)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 3.3 Day 259 (Phase C: Day 47)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -108 @ an average this Phase of -c2/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-537 points gross @ an average of -c12/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 8 B/p (4 o/a) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "If I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Short-List (Place Only) Combo, Mistakes: Tiny overbet on Total Combo as Total/A, Discrepancy (Negligible) OVERALL +1
Row 3
200 LingA: SWEENEY/Won F/c 6/4 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20% = 1.85 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.71 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.67
Bets: Place Only, 123 Combo (a tiny Win bet today), Total/1 & Xtra Combos BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only I - on Row 3
Asco: MIGHTY MAN/Won
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN +4
Place Only II
Asco: NEPTUNE COLLONGES/LOST
LingA: HISTORY BOY/LOST - CUPID'S GLORY/Non run
Bet: Basic BASIC PLAN -2
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
MIGHT MAN/Won
Bets: Total/1 Combo BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.14]
My Lay bets - None
Fancies - all the above (except Neptune Collonges & History Boy) and
Hayd: TIDAL FURY/WON
KempA: NOU CAMP/3RD
Newc: THE RING/2ND
Bet: Tiny Multi Fancy (EWDoubles) OVERALL +2
Tips
1) Main tip was HAUTCLAN (EW/LOST - run for money delivered at least (pipped out of 3rd place near the line) F/c 11/2 135 Hayd.
Bet: Split of tiny Win/balance to Place Only, to grand total of 8 points] I've halved stakes on this bank until the next major review (&, today, halved the Place Only side as well as it was only an EW tip) [OVERALL -8]
2) Endorsements (Good words) on HARRIS BAY/LOST (Asco) - ALBERTAS RUN/Lost (Hayd) - THE RING/2nd (Newc)
Bets: Place Only (stats adjusted) [OVERALL -3]
3) Other tips: WINYAH F/c 4/1 925 Fair(USA/2ND - from yesterday
No5 TWISTING ROAD F/c 5/1 925 Fair(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
GOLDEN PAUL Turf(RSA/LOST
Bets: Small win [OVERALL -1]
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