2006-Dec-15
Diary for Dec 15 2006
Day257Month09Week3.1(Phase06CDay45)
Another 'Laura Luck' day?
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
3 in short list headed by OPERA DE COEUR/LOST (Row 2). 2 of my stats are good on the race but the Majority stat says 60W85L [born out], not that they guarantee anything. I've gone with the numbers. BARBERS SHOP/WON & COME ON JONNY/LOST located in Place Only I.
OUTCOME: Despite safeguards, the loss aggregated to a level damaging to my present precarious cash-flow position BASIC PLAN -20 (within OVERALL -85)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 3.2 Day 258 (Phase C: Day 46)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -112 @ an average this Phase of -c2/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-532 points gross @ an average of -c10/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 7 B/p (4 o/a) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "If I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2
150 Utto. OPERA DE COEUR/Lost F/c 4/5 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20% = 1.61 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.35 Old stat stakesr reducer x 0.71
Bets: Basic, FS + Mop Up, 2-Row 'Trebles' (with Row 1 but today an enhancement of the Basic bet), Place Only, the 3 Combos, Short-List (Place Only) Combo (a share of the existing capped Place Only bets), Mistakes, Discrepancy (+0.98 ignored) BASIC PLAN -5 plus OVERALL -15
Row 3
1255 Asco. BARBERS SHOP/Won Included due to Support (2xNaps)
235 Asco. NATAL/LOST Included due to Support (2xNaps)
Bets: the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only I - on Rows 2 & 3
Utto: COME ON JONNY/LOST
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN -9
Place Only II
Asco: TAGULA BLUE/WON
Utto: KING REVO/LOST
Bet: Basic BASIC PLAN +6
Naps I
OPERA DE COEUR/Lost (Double stake) - see above
Bets: Basic, 'Double' (an enhancement of the Basic bet today), 2-Row 'Doubles' (with Row 1 but today an enhancement of the Basic bet), Total Combo BASIC PLAN -10
Naps II
NATAL/Lost (Double stake) - see above
Bets: Total Combo BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.18]
My Lay bets - None
Fancies - all the above (except King Revo & Tagula Blue) and
Asco: PEPPERONI PETE/LOST
Utto: MATCHO PIERJI/LOST - NEGUS DE BEAUMONT/UR
Wolv: PERUVIAN PRINCE/WON
Bet: Tiny Multi Fancy (Trebles) OVERALL -7
Tips
1) Main tip to hand is FERIMON/LOST F/c 4/1 300 Utto.
Bet: Split of small Win/balance to Place Only, to grand total of 30 points [OVERALL -30]
2) Endorsements (Good words) on COME ON JONNY/Lost - OPERA DE COEUR/Lost - NEGUS DE BEAUMONT/ur - FERIMON/Lost
Bets: Place Only (stats adjusted) [OVERALL -12]
3) Other tips: MOST BEAUTIFUL 952 Fair(USA/LOST - from yesterday
No6 WINYAH F/c 4/1 925 Fair(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
COURT CASE 1225 Arli(RSA/LOST
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL -2]
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