The Totopoly Kid - Diary for Dec 15 2006

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Diary for Dec 15 2006

Results of bets on Fri Dec 15 2006
Day257Month09Week3.1(Phase06CDay45)


Another 'Laura Luck' day?
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
3 in short list headed by OPERA DE COEUR/LOST (Row 2). 2 of my stats are good on the race but the Majority stat says 60W85L [born out], not that they guarantee anything. I've gone with the numbers. BARBERS SHOP/WON & COME ON JONNY/LOST located in Place Only I.
OUTCOME: Despite safeguards, the loss aggregated to a level damaging to my present precarious cash-flow position     BASIC PLAN -20 (within OVERALL -85)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 3.2 Day 258 (Phase C: Day 46)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -112 @ an average this Phase of -c2/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-532 points gross @ an average of -c10/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 7 B/p (4 o/a) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "If I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])

Row 1 - No qualifier

Row 2
150 Utto. OPERA DE COEUR/Lost F/c 4/5 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20% = 1.61 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.35 Old stat stakesr reducer x 0.71
Bets: Basic, FS + Mop Up, 2-Row 'Trebles' (with Row 1 but today an enhancement of the Basic bet), Place Only, the 3 Combos, Short-List (Place Only) Combo (a share of the existing capped Place Only bets), Mistakes, Discrepancy (+0.98 ignored)     BASIC PLAN -5 plus OVERALL -15

Row 3
1255 Asco. BARBERS SHOP/Won Included due to Support (2xNaps)
235 Asco. NATAL/LOST Included due to Support (2xNaps)
Bets: the 3 Combos     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only I - on Rows 2 & 3
Utto: COME ON JONNY/LOST
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo     BASIC PLAN -9

Place Only II
Asco: TAGULA BLUE/WON
Utto: KING REVO/LOST
Bet: Basic     BASIC PLAN +6

Naps I
OPERA DE COEUR/Lost (Double stake) - see above
Bets: Basic, 'Double' (an enhancement of the Basic bet today), 2-Row 'Doubles' (with Row 1 but today an enhancement of the Basic bet), Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -10

Naps II
NATAL/Lost (Double stake) - see above
Bets: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.18]

My Lay bets - None

Fancies - all the above (except King Revo & Tagula Blue) and
Asco: PEPPERONI PETE/LOST
Utto: MATCHO PIERJI/LOST - NEGUS DE BEAUMONT/UR
Wolv: PERUVIAN PRINCE/WON
Bet: Tiny Multi Fancy (Trebles)     OVERALL -7

Tips
1) Main tip to hand is FERIMON/LOST F/c 4/1 300 Utto.
Bet: Split of small Win/balance to Place Only, to grand total of 30 points     [OVERALL -30]
2) Endorsements (Good words) on COME ON JONNY/Lost - OPERA DE COEUR/Lost - NEGUS DE BEAUMONT/ur - FERIMON/Lost
Bets: Place Only (stats adjusted)     [OVERALL -12]
3) Other tips: MOST BEAUTIFUL 952 Fair(USA/LOST - from yesterday
No6 WINYAH F/c 4/1 925 Fair(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
COURT CASE 1225 Arli(RSA/LOST
Bets: Tiny win     [OVERALL -2]

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