2006-Dec-11
Diary for Dec 11 2006
Day253Month09Week2.4(Phase06CDay41)
Might be a good day.
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
3 in my short-list [1NR-1PL-1L] - 1 each for Rows 1, 2 & 3.
I continue with my block (for the time being) on most Supplementary bet categories.
OUTCOME: After the Row 1 qualifier was withdrawn, things were always going to look mediocre BASIC PLAN -18 (within OVERALL -23)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 2.5 Day 254 (Phase C: Day 42)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -110 @ an average this Phase of -c3/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-461 points gross @ an average of -c11/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 4 B/p (2 o/a) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "If I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1
1250 Ayr. ECHO POINT/NON RUN F/c 1/3 Min value odds according to my stat + 20% = 1.96 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.33 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.79
Bets: Basic, 2-Row 'Doubles' (with Naps I normally but today an enhancement of the Win single), 2-Row 'Trebles' (with Row 2, today a Sequential Double), Place Only, the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN -3
Row 2
120 Ayr. CORRIB LAD/LOST F/c 5/4 Min val odds + 20% = 1.96 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.33 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.71
Bets: Basic, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1 in a Seq. Double today), Place Only + Short-List (Place Only) Supplementary (These Short-List bets have been made so far @ a version of 'level stakes.' Now, I'm using 'stakes adjustment,' lumping them in with the standard Place Only bets), the 3 Combos, Mistakes, Discrepancy (Negligible) BASIC PLAN -7 plus OVERALL -2
Row 3
310 Wolv. HAPPY AS LARRY/2ND F/c 1/2 Min val odds + 20% = 1.85 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.71 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.32
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos + Xtras if any BASIC PLAN -3
Place Only I - on Rows 1, 2 & 3 and
Wolv: MONEY FOR FUN/BROKE DOWN & FELL
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN -3
Place Only II - Qualifiers not selected
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
Ayr: THE ABBOT'S HABIT/WON - ECHO POINT/Non run
Plum: NETHERLY/WON
Bets: Total Combo BASIC PLAN -2
My Lay bets - None
Fancies
Ayr: MR PREACHER MAN/LOST
Plum: CITY OF MANCHESTER/2ND - good run for money
Bets: Small win OVERALL -4
Tips
1) Main tip awaited [Bet: Split of Tiny Win/balance to Place Only, to grand total of 0 points] [OVERALL N/A]
2) Endorsements (Good words) on Ayr: ROTHBURY/NON RUN
Bets: Place Only (stats adjusted) [OVERALL N/A]
3) Other tips awaited
WHISPER TO ME 952 Fair(USA/2ND - from yesterday
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.27)]
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