2006-Dec-6
Diary for Dec 06 2006
Day248Month09Week1.6(Phase06CDay36)
Total 'blow out' feared but averted
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
4 in my short list, THE REVERENDLOST (Row 3), COPPER BAYWON & WESTGROVE BERRYWON (Place Only I) and KILDEE LASSWON (Place Only II). My stats do not fully commend any for big bets. Accordingly, I have committed relatively little in stakes (except for a main tip, if any) but I'm apprehensive nevertheless. Suddenly, I have this gut feeling that today could easily turn into an all but complete 'blow-out,' zero winners (or as near as dammit) always being possible as an outcome, after all, and, indeed, occasionally happening to the best of us. A failure of this maginitude would be, in aggregate, damaging and, frankly, bring my betting to a dead stop until after Christmas.
OUTCOME: After the failure of The Reverend I saw my life passing before my eyes - but a small profit accrued by the end of the day BASIC PLAN +6 (within OVERALL +14)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 1.7 Day 249 (Phase C: Day 37)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -31 @ an average this Phase of -c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-311 points gross @ an average of -c9/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 3 B/p (2 o/a) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-Even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "If I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points gross (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Token Supplementary Win bet & Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up on The Reverend, Supplementary Short-list Combo, Mistakes, Discrepancy (-0.59) OVERALL +2
Row 3
1250 Hexh. THE REVERENDLost F/c 4/5 Min value odds according to my 'Odds Configuration' stat + 20% = 2.29 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.69 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.49
230 Leic. BERANGARIO3RD F/c 11/10 Included due to Support (3xNaps)
Bets: Place Only (The Reverend), 123 & Total Combos + Xtras if any, Xtra Combo (The Reverend) + Late Xtras if any BASIC PLAN -7
Place Only I - The Reverend and
Hexh: TORKINKINGWON
KempA: MYTHICAL CHARMWON - but, in error, no bet
Leic: COPPER BAYWON - WESTGROVE BERRYWON
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo + LateXtras if any BASIC PLAN +9
Place Only II
KempA: TASK COMPLETELOST - EL POTRO2ND
Leic: GENGHIS2ND/BOB HALLWON - KILDEE LASSWon - BERANGARIO3rd
Wolv: CROSS OF LORRAINEWONRAGAD2ND
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +7
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
KempA: SIRAJLOST (Double stake)
Wolv: CROSS OF LORRAINEWon (Double stake)
Bets: Total Combo + Xtras if any BASIC PLAN -3
My Lay bets - None
Fancies - all the above (except Task Complete, El Potro &, omitted in error, Kildee Lass) and
KempA: *OCEAN ROCKWON/GALLASLOST
Leic: NEYSAUTEURLOST
Wolv: *CROSS OF LORRAINEWon/RAGAD2nd
Bet: EWDoubles
The above *pairings and
GENGHIS2nd/BOB HALLWon
Bets: 2x2EWDoubles, 2X2EWTrebles [OVERALL +5]
Tips
1) No Main tip [Bet: Split Small Win/balance to Place Only, to grand total of 0 points] [OVERALL NA]
2) No Lay tip to hand so far
Bet: Min liability [OVERALL NA]
3) Endorsements (Good words) on Leic: THE REVERENDLost - Hexh: WESTGROVE BERRYWon
Bets: Place Only (stats adjusted) [OVERALL EVEN (+0.08)]
4) Other tips: BERSTEI 512 (Race7) Phil(USA/LOST - from yesterday
No8 THATS OUR POINT F/c 3/1 540 Laur(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
CAILIN ALAINN Fc 8-1 Fair(IR)WON
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL +1]
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