2006-Dec-3
Diary for Dec 03 2006
Day245Month09Week1.3S(Phase06CDay33)
Looked dodgy overall & so it proved.
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
3 in my short list, 1 of which made it into Row 1: ACCORDING TO JOHN/WON. After that, TO TIGER/LOST in Row 3 and KILLARD POINT/2ND in Place Only II.
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN -11 (within OVERALL -36)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 1.4 Day 246 (Phase C: Day 34)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -28 @ an average this Phase of -c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-265 points net @ an average of -c8/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 1 B/p (1 o/a) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "If I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1
100 Kels. ACCORDING TO JOHN/Won F/c 2/9 Min value odds according to my odds configuration stat + 20% = 1.36 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 1.67 Old stat stakes enhancer x 4.60 (based on only 28 results: 23W5L)
Bets: Severely capped Basic, Heavily capped Star component + Mop Up, 2-Row 'Double' (with Naps I but today an enhancement of the Win bet), 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 2 but today an enhancement of the Win bet), heavily capped Place Only, 123 & Total Combos, Sequential Xtra Combo BASIC EVEN [+0.19]
Row 2 - No qualifier
Bets: Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups on According to John & To Tiger, Sequential Supplementary Short-list Combo (stakes adjusted; including KILLARD POINT/2nd), Mistakes: Component wrongly in Xtra sequential bet to win on To Tiger (should have been Killard Point) (Not corrected); Xtra/A - i.e., corrected - also on To Tiger @ SP when I should have taken price (15/8) due to intended bet split partly @ SPplus, Discrepancy (Negligable?) OVERALL -19
Row 3
1240 Warw. DARKSHAPE/4TH F/c 7/1 Included on Support (2xNaps)
300 Kels. TO TIGER/Lost F/c 7/4 Min val odds + 20% = 2.29 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.69 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.74
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos + Xtras if any BASIC PLAN -10
Place Only I - on Rows 1 & 3 (excluding Darkshape)
Bets: Basic, Sequential Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.20]
Place Only II
Kels: RAINING HORSE/LOST
Warw: KILLARD POINT/2nd
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -1
Naps I
ACCORDING TO JOHN/Won - see above
Bets: Capped Basic (Doubled), Total Combo + Xtras if any BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.21]
Naps II - No selection
My Lay bets - None
Tips
1) No Main tip today [OVERALL N/A]
2) No Lay tip to hand (mostly there isn't one on Sundays)
Bet: Min liability (Note: This service is in a poor run currently) [OVERALL N/A]
3) Endorsements (Good words) on Warw: KILLARD POINT/2nd - Kels: ACCORDING TO JOHN/Won - RAMBLING MINSTER/2ND - RAINING HORSE/Lost
Bets: Small Place Only (special stats adjusted) [OVERALL EVEN (+0.13)]
4) Other tips: No.5 LAKE TAKUM F/c 4/1 Fair(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
Fair(IR): BLAZING SKY/LOST F/c 9/2 - BLUEBERRY BOY/NON RUN F/c 7/1
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.21)]
Fancies - Rows 1&3, Place Only I&2, and all, or from,
Kels: LESLINGTAYLOR/NON RUN
LingA: FASTRAC BOY/LOST - ONEWAY TICKET/2ND/COSMIC DESTINY/LOST
Bets: EWDoubles
Kels: LESLINGTAYLOR/Non run/RAINING HORSE/Lost
LingA: ONEWAY TICKET/2nd/COSMIC DESTINY/Lost
Bets: 2x2EWDoubles [OVERALL -6]
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