The Totopoly Kid - Diary for Dec 02 2006

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Diary for Dec 02 2006

Results of bets on Sat Dec 02 2006
Day244Month09Week1.2(Phase06CDay32)


Basic Plan Ruled OK today, after all
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
8 in my short list, 4 of which made it into Row 2. [6 won, 1 placed, 1 lost] A couple of them could equally well have been located in Row 1 but, after yesterday's bad experience, there, over Pouvoir, I decided to steer clear of any sizeable win single bet today e.g., Star bets. This is as well - for it's already a busy day and I'm risking quite enough (maybe too much?) collectively on my usual multiple bet categories. I shall be lucky, I feel, to 'stop the rot' of consecutive losing days. If I don't, then today's would be the 5th in succession. A classic good day again for this format - of very little risked on single bets but reliance on the multiples     BASIC PLAN +44 (within OVERALL +50)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 1.3 Day 245 (Phase C: Day 33)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -17 @ an average this Phase of -c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-229 points net @ an average of -c7/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 1 B/p (1 o/a) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "If I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
  
Row 1 - No qualifier

Row 2
105 SoutA. LETHAM ISLAND/WON F/c 4/7 Min value odds according to my odds configuration stat + 20% = 1.85 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.26 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.83 (based on only 17 results: 11W6L)
235 Sand. KAUTO STAR/WON F/c 8/15 Min val odds + 20% = 1.96 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.25 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.32
255 Weth. ROYAL ROSA/WON F/c 8/11 Min val ods + 20% = 2.05 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.30 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.32
700 Wolv: ABANDON/WON F/c 4/9 Min val odds + 20% = 1.96 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.85 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.95
Bets: Capped Basic, 2-Row Trebles (with Row 1 normally), Place Only, Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups, Supplementary Short-list Combo (stakes adjusted; including MICHAEL MUCK/2ND, CHRISTDALO/WON, MALKO DE BEAUMONT/LOST & MARKET WATCHER/WON) + Xtras if any, Mistakes: The uncapped portion of the Short-List Combo (1/3rd) that the bet should have been reduced by as there are more than 5 runners, Discrepancy (Negligable)     BASIC PLAN +25 plus OVERALL +9

Row 3
130 Sand. COUSIN NICKY/LOST F/c 2/1 Included on Support (2xNaps,2xNBs)
930 Wolv. MARKET WATCHER/Won F/c Evs Included due to Support (Nap,NB)
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos + Xtras if any     BASIC PLAN +8

Place Only I - on Row 2 and
Chep: MICHAEL MUCK/2nd
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo Should have been a LateXtra Combo after Cousin Nicky lost but I overlooked it. Would have added a few points of profit as the intended inclusions all won. Irritating error!     BASIC PLAN +2

Place Only II
Chep: BONGO FURY/WON - NOBLE BILY/3RD - OLD BENNY/2ND/CHRISTDALO/WON
Sand: JOLI CLASSICAL/LOST
SoutA: SANGREAL/LOST
Weth: OSSMOSES/LOST - EVER SO SLIGHTLY/WON - SILVER KNIGHT/WON
Wolv: TOPIARY TED/LOST
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +2

Naps I
KAUTO STAR/Won - See above
Bets: Basic (Double stake), Total Combo + Xtras if any     BASIC PLAN +6

Naps II - No selection
My Lay bets - None

Tips
1) Main tip to hand is NATION STATE/3RD EW F/c 9/1 310 Sand.
Bet: Split Win/Place Only - 10 points total     [OVERALL +9]
2) Lay tip to hand is SUPREME HUNTRESS/HRS WON F/c 2/1 1240 Chep.
Seems OK
Bet: Min liability This service is in a poor run currently     [OVERALL -5]
3) Endorsements (Good words) on Chep: CHRISTDALO/Won - Sand: KAUTO STAR/Won - Weth: ROYAL ROSA/Won - Wolv: NIGHT PROSPECTOR/WON
Bets: Place Only (stats adjusted) except tiny Win on Royal Rosa & Night Prospector   [OVERALL +1]
4) NAISSANCE ROYALE F/c 3/1 827 Cald(USA/NON RUN
Bets: Tiny win     [OVERALL N/A]

Fancies
Chep: NOBEL BILY/3rd - WAIN MOUNTAIN/WON
KempA: SPINNING REEL/LOST - BOMBER COMMAND/2ND
Sand: JOLI CLASSICAL/Lost - MY WAY DE SOLZEN/2ND
Weth: MALKO DE BEAUMONT/Lost - DUNDICLOU/LOST
Wolv: DON PELE/WON - TARTARTUFATA/2ND - MARKET WATCHER/Won
Bets: EWDoubles I switched to EWDoubles from my recent basic of WTrebles and maybe this was just as well
OVERSTRAND/WON/ELEGANT CLUTTER/LOST - WILD IS THE WIND/LOST/MOORLANDS AGAIN/LOST - OLD BENNY/2ND/CHRISTDALO/WON
Bets: 2x2EWDoubles, 2x2EWTrebles It seems when I have a good day on Basic Plan, Fancies do badly and vice versa     [OVERALL -7]

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