2006-Dec-2
Diary for Dec 02 2006
Day244Month09Week1.2(Phase06CDay32)
Basic Plan Ruled OK today, after all
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
8 in my short list, 4 of which made it into Row 2. [6 won, 1 placed, 1 lost] A couple of them could equally well have been located in Row 1 but, after yesterday's bad experience, there, over Pouvoir, I decided to steer clear of any sizeable win single bet today e.g., Star bets. This is as well - for it's already a busy day and I'm risking quite enough (maybe too much?) collectively on my usual multiple bet categories. I shall be lucky, I feel, to 'stop the rot' of consecutive losing days. If I don't, then today's would be the 5th in succession. A classic good day again for this format - of very little risked on single bets but reliance on the multiples BASIC PLAN +44 (within OVERALL +50)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 1.3 Day 245 (Phase C: Day 33)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -17 @ an average this Phase of -c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-229 points net @ an average of -c7/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Dec: 1 B/p (1 o/a) Nov: 19 (15) [-218] *Break-even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that "If I haven't lost, I must have won."
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2
105 SoutA. LETHAM ISLAND/WON F/c 4/7 Min value odds according to my odds configuration stat + 20% = 1.85 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.26 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.83 (based on only 17 results: 11W6L)
235 Sand. KAUTO STAR/WON F/c 8/15 Min val odds + 20% = 1.96 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.25 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.32
255 Weth. ROYAL ROSA/WON F/c 8/11 Min val ods + 20% = 2.05 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.30 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.32
700 Wolv: ABANDON/WON F/c 4/9 Min val odds + 20% = 1.96 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.85 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.95
Bets: Capped Basic, 2-Row Trebles (with Row 1 normally), Place Only, Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups, Supplementary Short-list Combo (stakes adjusted; including MICHAEL MUCK/2ND, CHRISTDALO/WON, MALKO DE BEAUMONT/LOST & MARKET WATCHER/WON) + Xtras if any, Mistakes: The uncapped portion of the Short-List Combo (1/3rd) that the bet should have been reduced by as there are more than 5 runners, Discrepancy (Negligable) BASIC PLAN +25 plus OVERALL +9
Row 3
130 Sand. COUSIN NICKY/LOST F/c 2/1 Included on Support (2xNaps,2xNBs)
930 Wolv. MARKET WATCHER/Won F/c Evs Included due to Support (Nap,NB)
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos + Xtras if any BASIC PLAN +8
Place Only I - on Row 2 and
Chep: MICHAEL MUCK/2nd
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo Should have been a LateXtra Combo after Cousin Nicky lost but I overlooked it. Would have added a few points of profit as the intended inclusions all won. Irritating error! BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only II
Chep: BONGO FURY/WON - NOBLE BILY/3RD - OLD BENNY/2ND/CHRISTDALO/WON
Sand: JOLI CLASSICAL/LOST
SoutA: SANGREAL/LOST
Weth: OSSMOSES/LOST - EVER SO SLIGHTLY/WON - SILVER KNIGHT/WON
Wolv: TOPIARY TED/LOST
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +2
Naps I
KAUTO STAR/Won - See above
Bets: Basic (Double stake), Total Combo + Xtras if any BASIC PLAN +6
Naps II - No selection
My Lay bets - None
Tips
1) Main tip to hand is NATION STATE/3RD EW F/c 9/1 310 Sand.
Bet: Split Win/Place Only - 10 points total [OVERALL +9]
2) Lay tip to hand is SUPREME HUNTRESS/HRS WON F/c 2/1 1240 Chep.
Seems OK
Bet: Min liability This service is in a poor run currently [OVERALL -5]
3) Endorsements (Good words) on Chep: CHRISTDALO/Won - Sand: KAUTO STAR/Won - Weth: ROYAL ROSA/Won - Wolv: NIGHT PROSPECTOR/WON
Bets: Place Only (stats adjusted) except tiny Win on Royal Rosa & Night Prospector [OVERALL +1]
4) NAISSANCE ROYALE F/c 3/1 827 Cald(USA/NON RUN
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL N/A]
Fancies
Chep: NOBEL BILY/3rd - WAIN MOUNTAIN/WON
KempA: SPINNING REEL/LOST - BOMBER COMMAND/2ND
Sand: JOLI CLASSICAL/Lost - MY WAY DE SOLZEN/2ND
Weth: MALKO DE BEAUMONT/Lost - DUNDICLOU/LOST
Wolv: DON PELE/WON - TARTARTUFATA/2ND - MARKET WATCHER/Won
Bets: EWDoubles I switched to EWDoubles from my recent basic of WTrebles and maybe this was just as well
OVERSTRAND/WON/ELEGANT CLUTTER/LOST - WILD IS THE WIND/LOST/MOORLANDS AGAIN/LOST - OLD BENNY/2ND/CHRISTDALO/WON
Bets: 2x2EWDoubles, 2x2EWTrebles It seems when I have a good day on Basic Plan, Fancies do badly and vice versa [OVERALL -7]
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