The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Thu Nov 30 2006
Day242Month08Week4.7+2(Phase06CDay30)

A day for caution
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
My short list includes 3, 2 of which make it into Row3: TASHKANDI/LOST & LIBERATE/WON. Of the two, the stats I have to hand most support the latter for the win - but that runner is worryingly opposed by Lambourn. To boot, Spotlight gives it but "marginal preference" - an odd phrase, considering Liberate is dead popular overnight. (Can 13 of 14 tipsters in the RP Selection Box possibly be equally 'marginal' in their preference?) Needn't have worried Odd-one-out selections like Lambourn's sometimes up and score; hence, my caution.
OUTCOME:     BASIC PLAN -5 (within OVERALL -22)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Dec Week 1.1 Day 243 (Phase C: Day 31)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) deficit = -3 @ an average this Phase of -c0/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-218 points net @ an average of -c7/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Nov: 19xB/Plan (15xO/all) [*see above for this month's O/all gain/loss] *Break-even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that 'if I haven't lost, I must have won.'
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
  
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Supplementary Short-list Combo (including FLYING ENTERPRISE/WON), Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups on TASHKANDI/Lost & LIBERATE/Won, Xtras if any, Mistakes: Place Only bet in error on GOLD THREAD/LOST, Discrepancy (Negligible)     OVERALL -7

Row 3
330 Leic. TASHKANDI/Lost F/c Evs Min value odds according to my odds configuration stat + 20% = 2.77 (not that it will be attainable) New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.94 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.14
340 Winc. LIBERATE/Won F/c 4/5 Min val odds + 20% = 1.85 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.70 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.95
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos, Xtras if any     BASIC PLAN -3

Place Only I - Row 3 and
Leic: NOBELIX/WON
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo, LateXtras if any     BASIC PLAN -2

Place Only II
Leic: FLASH CUMMINS/WON - SPEAR THISTLE/LOST - AN ACCORDION/WON/REACH FOR THE TOP/2ND
MarkR: HENCHMAN/3RD/PLAYER/2ND
Winc: CAPTAIN WINDSOR/2ND
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +1

Naps I
TASHKANDI/Lost & LIBERATE/Won - see above
Bets: Capped Basic, Double, 2-Row Doubles (with Row 1 normally but today an enhancement of the existing Double), Total Combo, Xtras if any     BASIC PLAN -1

Naps II
Leic: FLASH CUMMINS/Won - AN ACCORDION/Won
Bets: Total Combo, Xtras if any     BASIC PLAN -1

My Lay bets - None

Tips
1) No Main tip today     [OVERALL N/A]
2) No Lay tip today     [OVERALL N/A]
3) Endorsements (Good words) on
Leic: FLASH CUMMINS/Won - DANCING LYRA/3RD @ 20/1 (Squeak to Place at a price) - TASHKANDI/Lost
MarkR: CUSTOM DESIGN/WON
Winc: ORIGINAL FLY/WON - LIBERATE/Won
Bets: Place Only (stats adjusted)     [OVERALL -1]
4) Minor tips: No.3 SMOKESCREEN F/c 8/5 R.8 Laur(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
WEST OF THE MOON Currently 13/10 & shortening 1225 Vaal(RSA/LOST
Bets: Small win (1 3/4 points West Of..., 1/2 point Smoke...)    [OVERALL -2]

Fancies
Leic: CONKERING/LOST
MarkR: GOLD THREAD/Lost/CAMDEN GEORGE/2ND - CUSTOM DESIGN/Won
Winc: ORIGINAL FLY/Won - FLYING ENTERPRISE/Won/CAPTAIN WINDSOR/2nd - MAGICAL LEGEND/2ND - ROSSES POINT/WON
Bets: Trebles
Leic: NOBELIX/Won/SPEAR THISTLE/Lost - AN ACCORDION/Won/REACH FOR THE TOP/2nd
MarkR: HENCHMAN/3rd/PLAYER/2nd - GOLD THREAD/Lost/CAMDEN GEORGE/2nd
Winc: FLYING ENTERPRISE/Won/CAPTAIN WINDSOR/2nd
Bets: 2x2 Trebles     [OVERALL -7]