The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Wed Nov 29 2006
Day241Month08Week4.7+1(Phase06CDay29)

Mixed fortunes expected - & got
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
My short list is quite long: 7. Only 1 makes it into my main rows: ASTARADOR/WON (Row 1). THE LAST VIKING/WON & BEDLAM BOY/FELL are in Row 3 on Support.
OUTCOME: But the short-list was very successful today: 6 wins and - spoiling the clean sweep - a faller. However, the success did not impact on 'Basic Plan,' unfortunately. 'Overall' would have compensated, but was subverted by the failure today of the major tip to even Place     BASIC PLAN  -12 (within OVERALL -21)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Nov Week 4.7+2 Day 242 (Phase C: Day 30)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +2 @ an average, this Phase, of +c0/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-196 points net @ an average of -c7/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Nov: 19xB/Plan (15xO/all) [*see above for this month's O/all gain/loss] *Break-even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that 'if I haven't lost, I must have won.'
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
  
Row 1
130 Ayr. ASTARADOR/Won F/c 2/5 Min value odds according to my odds configuration stat + 20% = 1.98 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.30 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.74
Bets: Capped Basic, Token Star, 2-Row Doubles (with Naps I - an enhancement of the Win bet today), 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 2 normally, but today a further enhancement of the Win single), Place Only, the 3 Combos, Xtras if any Place Only bet not matched, sadly     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.37]

Row 2 - No qualifier
Bet: Supplementary Short-list Combo, Xtras, Mistakes: LateXtra/A Combo (EWDouble - it should have been an EWTreble), Discrepancy (Negligible)     OVERALL +14

Row 3
1220 Ayr. THE LAST VIKING/Won F/c 15/8 Included on Support (2xNaps, 2xNBs) [For info: Min val odds + 20% = 2.77 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.94 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.82]
255 Catt. BEDLAM BOY/Fell F/c 7/4 Included on Support (5xNaps) [For info: Min val odds + 20% = 2.30 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.69 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.14]
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos (The Last Viking not in the Xtra Combo), Xtras     BASIC PLAN -8

Place Only I - Rows 1 & 3 and
Ayr: NEGUS DE BEAUMONT/WON
Catt: TAZBAR/WON
Plum: ALEXANDER EXCHANGE/LOST - finished lame
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo, LateXtras/1     BASIC PLAN -2

Place Only II
Ayr: ANOTHER SUPERMAN/LOST - BEAUTY ONE/WON
Catt: FLAKE/WON
Kemp: PERSONAL COLUMN/WON
Plum: MARCEL/WON
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +2

Naps I
ASTARADOR/Won - see above
Bets: Capped Basic, 'Double' (an enhancement of the Win bet today), 2-Row Doubles (with Row 1 - a further enhancement of the Win single), Total Combo, Xtras if any     BASIC PLAN +2

Naps II
THE LAST VIKING/Won - see above
Ayr: MISTER MCGOLDRICK/LOST (Triple stake) - PERCUSSIONIST/LOST (Double stake)
Bets: Total Combo, Xtras Disappointing that 2 lost. (I follow 7 tipsters, 5 of whose selections are represented here today. They usually do better.)      BASIC PLAN -6

My Lay bets - None

Tips
1) Main tip today EW is DIG DEEP/LOST (did not 'dig deep') F/c 8/1 550 Kemp
Small win, the balance Place Only, to grand total of 40 points Perhaps 40 was excessive to chance on an EW tip. I was too greedy: 20 would have sufficed.     [OVERALL -40]
2) No Lay tip today     [OVERALL N/A]
3) Endorsements (Good words) on
Ayr: THE LAST VIKING/Won - ASTARADOR/Won - not matched - WILD CANE RIDGE/WON - NEGUS DE BEAUMONT/Won
Catt: BEDLAM BOY/Fell
Bets: Place Only (stats adjusted) except for Win bet on Wild Cane Ridge     [OVERALL EVEN (-0.35)]
4) Minor tips: SOFT LANDING/LOST - from yesterday
LAMBERTSON ROAD/LOST - from yesterday
GINGIVERE F/c 7/2 807 Laur(USA/LOST
COLD SPELL Currently 8/10 but drifting 440 Grey(RSA/LOST
Bets: Tiny win     [OVERALL -2]

Fancies
Ayr: PERCUSSIONIST/Lost
Catt: CAULKLEYS BANK/WON
Kemp: WORLD SPIRIT/WON/FIRST BUDDY/2ND
Plum: OSANA/WON - AVITTA/WON
Bets: Trebles A particularly pleasing outcome for this category     [OVERALL +20]