2006-Nov-28
Diary for Nov 28 2006
Day240Month08Week4.7(Phase06CDay28)
No joy today
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
I often do all right on these poor days. Today, however, I've rushed my data processing and am not confident in the decisions I've made. My short list is quite long: 7. Only 3 make it into my main rows: WILLIAM BUTLER/LOST, PAPILLON DE IENA/2ND (Row 1), NENUPHAR COLLONGES/WON (Row 3).
OUTCOME: I found winners - but not in the right place to do other than damage limitate BASIC PLAN -35 (within OVERALL -41)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Nov Week 4.7+1 Day 241 (Phase C: Day 29)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +14 @ an average, this Phase, of +c1/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-175 points net @ an average of -c6/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Nov: 19xB/Plan (15xO/all) [*see above for this month's O/all gain/loss] *Break-even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that 'if I haven't lost, I must have won.'
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1
110 Here. WILLIAM BUTLER/Lost F/c 1/2 Min value odds according to my odds configuration stat + 20% = 1.83 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.56 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.52
140 Here. PAPILLON DE IENA/2nd F/c 11/10 Min val odds + 20% = 1.83 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.56 Old stat stakes enhancer x 2.05
Bets: Capped Basic, 2-Row Doubles (with Naps I), 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 2 normally, but today a Sequential; Double), Place Only, 123 & Total Combo, Xtras if any Correct decision not to do Star bets on the above BASIC PLAN -21
Row 2 - No qualifier
Bet: Supplementary Short-list Combo, Mistakes: needless EWTreble with 2-Row Double bet, Discrepancy (Negligible) OVERALL -4
Row 3
310 Here. NENUPHAR COLLONGES/Won F/c 13/8 Min val odds + 20% = 2.29 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.67 Old stat stakes enhancer x 2.05
Bets: Place Only (no bet), 123 & Total Combos, Xtras if any BASIC PLAN -3
Place Only I
I did not bet in this category today
Place Only II
Here: THE HOWARDIAN/LOST - LAWYER DES ORMEAUX/FELL
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -3
Naps I
PAPILLON DE IENA/2nd & NENUPHAR COLLONGES/Won - see above
Bets: Capped Basic (Triple stake on Papillon), Sequential Double, 2-Row Doubles (with Row 1), Total Combo, Xtras if any BASIC PLAN -7
Naps II
Here: FAIR QUESTION/WON
LingA: HURRICANE SPIRIT/Won
Bets: Total Combo, Xtras if any BASIC PLAN -1
My Lay bets - None
Tips
1) No Main tip today [OVERALL N/A]
2) Lay tip today is ATLANTIC STORY/HRS WON
Probably a good selection, but no bet. Correct decision, this time [OVERALL N/A]
3) Endorsements (Good words) on MOUNT SANDAL/Won - WILLIAM BUTLER/Lost - PAPILLON DE IENA/2nd - NENUPHAR COLLONGES/Won
Bets: Place Only (stats adjusted) [OVERALL -1]
Fancies
Here: MOUNT SANDAL/Won/THE HOWARDIAN/Lost - FAIR QUESTION/Won/LAWYER DES ORMEAUX/Fell
SoutA: MIDDLE EASTERN/LOST/CLEVELAND/3RD
Bet: 2x2 EWDoubles/Treble
All the above plus
LingA: ZAZOUS/WON
SoutA: BODDEN BAY/WON - BRIDGET'S TEAM/2nd
Bets: Trebles [OVERALL -2]
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