2006-Nov-22
Diary for Nov 22 2006
Day234Month08Week4.1(Phase06CDay22)
Classic result for this format on what looked like a dodgy day
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
8 in my short-list, half of which qualify for Row 3 (negatives all over the shop).
I've seen stats like these on days that went well and on days that went badly. Looks a trappy day from where I stand.
All my single bets today are Place Only. Plus I've chanced my arm on some highly chancy bets within "Fancies." One never knows...they might work out. (It's days like this that throw up pleasant surprises.)
If I do badly, I'll take some days off racing to recover! If I do well, I'll take them off anyway for some Christmas shopping.)
OUTCOME: I was lucky, really BASIC PLAN +9 (within OVERALL +21)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Nov Week 4.2 Day 235 (Phase C: Day 23)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +48 @ an average, this Phase, of +c2/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-150 points net @ an average of -c7/day. Gain-days in Phase 06C: Nov: 14xB/Plan (12xO/all) [*see above for this month's O/all gain/loss] *Break-even days count as Win ones - a ruling I've lately introduced on the basis that 'if I haven't lost, I must have won.'
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points net (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets: Capped (@ 2/3rds) Supplementary Short-List Combo (including HIERS DE BROUAGE/WON), Mistakes: 3x3x3EWTrebles/A (I omitted a 4th trio in error), Doubled up Place Only bet on THE REVEREND/WON, Discrepancy [+0.49] OVERALL +5
Row 3
1245 Ling. MY WAY DE SOLZEN/WON F/c 4/5 Min value odds, according to my 'odds configuration' stat, + 20% = 2.77 New odds stat stake reducer (General) x 0.94 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.32
135 Chep. HOPKINS/2ND F/c 4/6 Min val odds + 20% = 1.60 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.57 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.71
245 Chep. BLUE SPLASH/2ND F/c 2/1 Min val odds + 20% = 2.77 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.94 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.52
300 Ling. DARYAL/WON F/c 5/2 Min val odds + 20% = 2.80 Included due to Support (3xNaps)
420 KempA. MR LOIRE/WON F/c 6/4 Min val odds + 20% = 2.68 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.94 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.32
Bets: Capped Place Only (not Daryal), the 3 Combos, Xtras if any BASIC PLAN +4
Place Only I - on Row 3 (not **Daryal) and
Chep: PAPILLON DE LENA/WON - LEADING CONTENDER/WON
Weth: **THE REVEREND/WON - ZAFFARELLA/LOST
(**Not in short-list)
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo, LateXtra if any BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only II
Chep: YOU'VEGOTMEROCKING/LOST - CARNIVAL TOWN/2ND - MICHAEL MUCK/WON
KempA: BUCKIE MASSA/2ND
Ling: DARYAL/Won/SAN ANTONIO/Lost
Weth: JUNKANOO/3RD/ALLABOVEBOARD/WON
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +2
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
MY WAY DE SOLZEN/Won & BLUE SPLASH/2nd - see above
Bets: Total Combo, Xtras if any BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.32]
My Lay bets - None
Tips
1) No Main tip today
Bet: Split Win/Place Only, totalling ? points [OVERALL NA]
2) No Major Lay tip today [OVERALL N/A]
3) Minor tips: No8 HONEY ROSE Fc 5-2 938 Chur(USA-NON RUN
COUNT CREPELLO c7-1 1205 Scot(RSA/LOST
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.05)]
4) Endorsements (Good words):
(a) ECCOLLO/3RD F/c Evs (Kemp)
Bet: Tiny win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.05)]
(b) Chep: HOPKINS/2nd - BLUE SPLASH/2nd - Ling: MY WAY DE SOLZEN/Won - NEW TEAM/NON RUN/CHERY D'OR/3RD - Weth: JUNKANOO/3rd - THE REVEREND/Won - CATEGORICAL/WON - THE ABBOTS HABIT/2nd
Bets: Small Place Only (Stats adjusted) [OVERALL +4]
Fancies
Chep: HIERS DE BROUAGE/Won
KempA: ECCOLLO/3rd
Ling: NEW TEAM/Non run - MYSON/LOST
Weth: CATEGORICAL/Won - THE ABBOTS HABIT/2nd
Bets: Tiny Multi Fancy (Trebles)
Chep: PAPILLON DE LENA/Won/YOU'VEGOTMEROCKING/Lost/SHINGLE STREET/Lost - LEADING CONTENDER/Won/CARNIVAL TOWN/2nd/MAORI LEGEND/Lost - HOPKINS/2nd/MICHAEL MUCK/Won/NICTOS DE BERSY/3rd - HIERS DE BROUAGE/Won/BALLY BOLSHOI/Lost/MASTER D'OR/2nd
Bets: Fancy Multi Combo (3x3x3x3EWTrebles) This bet registered a tiny profit, luckily, the wrong horses having won
All, or from,
Chep: PAPILLON DE LENA/Won/YOU'VEGOTMEROCKING/Lost - LEADING CONTENDER/Won/CARNIVAL TOWN/2nd
KempA: MR LOIRE/Won/BUCKIE MASSA/2nd
Ling: MYSON/Lost/COACH LANE/WON - DARYAL/Won/SAN ANTONIO/Lost
Weth: JUNKANOO/3rd/ALLABOVEBOARD/Won
Bets: Fancy Multi Combo (2x2EWDoubles) The wrong horses won (again) OVERALL +3
0 comments | add a comment