The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Wed Sep 20 2006
Day171Month6Week3.6 (Phase 06B Day51)

MY PRE-RACING PROSPECTS SUMMARY WAS:
"Small to tiny stakes all round except, relatively, the Lay tip."
IN THE EVEN THE OUTCOME WAS:
OVERALL +18 (including BASIC PLAN +4)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Sep Week 3.7 (Day172 Phase B - Day 52):
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -393 points @ an average of 
-c8/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) deficit = -206 points @ an average of
-c4/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B:In Aug: 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) from 31 bet-days; in Sep: 9 (10)
PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr: 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]

OVERVIEW
In Phase B of my period in what I call "The Delta Quadrant" (having lost "Scope" since a disastrous day on 6th Jan), I am in a dour period of dependence on my most reliable bet types, preparatory work concentrated chiefly upon finding qualifiers for my multiple bets. Single win bets are now fewer in number and, tips excepted, usually @ stats adjusted token stake levels.

A fairly comprehensive betting plan (better than it looks at the moment), based on a close (but particular) study of the Selection Boxes in the Racing Post, and using a 'Statistics adjusted' staking method (using my own statistics).

See "Glossary on the Philosophy" at the end of the most recent diary entry

Rows 1 & 2 – No qualifier

Row 3
530 Redc. ELKHORN F/c 9/4/WON Included due to its "Support"
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos, TotalXtra/1,-/2, LateXtra/1, -/2     BASIC PLAN +1  

Naps I
355 Good: IMPERIAL STRIDE F/c 4/7/WON
Bet: Basic (Double stake), Double (an enhancement of the single as there is no other qualifier), 2-Row Double (normally with Row 1 but just an enhancement of the single today), Total Combo, Total Xtra/1, -/2     BASIC PLAN +2

Naps II
Good: QUANTUM/3RD
Pert: SCHINKEN OTTO/FELL - ALLABOVEBOARD/WON - ELKHORN/Won
Bets: Total Combo, TotalXtra/1, -/2    BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I - on Row 3 and
Good: ELKHORN/Won - IMPERIAL STRIDE/Won
Redc: FREMEN/2ND
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo, LateXtra/1, -/2     BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only II - on all, or from,
Good: STARRY MESSENGER/LOST - VILLA SONATA/LOST
Pert: DARK CORNER/LOST - ALABOVEBOARD/Won - BOB THE BUILDER/LOST
Redc: LITTLEDODAYNO/3RD
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -2

Fancies
Pert: SCHINKEN OTTO/Fell
Redc: CAVALRY GUARD/LOST - COAL PARK/LOST
Bets: Tiny Place Only     OVERALL -1

My Lay bets - None

Tips
707 Monm(USA) WILD MAPLE/Late result - see tomorrow
Bet: Tiny win     [OVERALL N/A]
Lay tip to hand EDGEHILL F/c 220 Pert/3RD
Bet: Target liability = 36     [OVERALL +16]
Good word to hand on STARRY MESSENGER/Lost - SHORE THING/LOST - no bet - EW KINGSCROSS/4TH - no bet, unfortunately - TALCEN GWYN/LOST - ELKHORN/Won
Bets: Tiny wIn on Starry Messenger, Talcen Gwyn & Elkhorn - no bet on the others     [OVERALL EVEN]
Ditto word to Lay: IMPERIAL STRIDE/Hrs won - but I shall not be laying it myself - Correct decision this time

PROSPECTS
Small to tiny stakes all round except, relatively, the Lay tip.
OVERALL +18 (including BASIC PLAN +4)