2006-Nov-13
Diary for Nov 13 2006
Day225Month08Week2.6(Phase 06C Day13)
Main qualifier wins
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
Just OFF THE RECORD/WON in my short-list today: a strong consensus fav, and my stats quite encouragingly supportive for the win. Even so, I've located it in Row 3 as it's a sprint on an All Weather track. Little at risk today.
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN +9 (within OVERALL -1 )
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Nov Week 2.7 Day 226 (Phase C: Day 14)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C only wef 01/11/06) surplus = +79 @ an average, this Phase, of +c6/day .... within OVERALL Phase 06C deficit of *-53 points @ an average of -c4/day. Gain-days in Phase 06B: Nov: 8 x B/Plan (6 x O/all) [*see above for this month's O/all gain/loss] *Break-even days count as Win ones - a new ruling I've introduced - on the basis that 'if I haven't lost, I must have won,' which, about betting on horses, I think is fair enough!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Supplementary Sequential Short-List Combo, Token Remedial Supplementary (6th rung) + Mop Up on OFF THE RECORD/Won, Mistakes, Discrepancy [Negligible] OVERALL +4
Row 3
100 SoutA. OFF THE RECORD/Won F/c 4/5 Min value odds, according to my Odds configuaration stat, + 20% = 1.83 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.63 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.14
Bets: Capped Basic, Place Only, the 123 & Xtra Combos (enhancement of the Win bet as no other qualifier), Total Combo, Xtras if any BASIC PLAN +5
Place Only I - on Row 3
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo BASIC PLAN +4
Place Only II
Leic: ARISEA/2ND
Ling: KYLE/2ND
SoutA: TAMWORTH/LOST
Bet: Basic, Multi Fancy Combo (with Fancies) BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.47] plus OVERALL -3
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
SoutA: LA COLLINE/WON - LITTLE ESKIMO/LOST
Bets: Total Combo, Xtras if any BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.13]
My Lay bets - None
Tips
1) No Main tip today
Bets: Small win, the balance Place Only, to grand total of ? points [OVERALL N/A]
2) Major Lay tip to hand is SUNISA/HRS LOST F/c 5/2 240 Leic.
Too much Support for my liking, incl. 2xNaps. (Expert opinion v. Expert opinion.) No bet - no regret. [OVERALL N/A]
3) No 6 THAT'S OUR SONG F/c 5/2 735 Dela(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL N/A]
4) Endorsements (Good words):
Leic: ARISEA/2nd
Bet: Tiny win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.05)]
(b) Leic: INSTRUCTOR/2ND
Bets: Stats-adjusted Place Only [OVERALL +1]
Fancies
Leic: INSTRUCTOR/2nd
LingA: UNQUENCHABLE/LOST
SoutA: SWEET PICKLE/2ND - LA COLLINE/Won - LITTLE ESKIMO/Lost - AT THE MONEY/LOST - RED CONTACT /WON
Bets: Tiny Fancy Multi (WTrebles), Tiny Multi Fancy Combo (with Place Only II) OVERALL -12
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