2006-Nov-11
Diary for Nov 11 2006
Day223Month08Week2.4(Phase 06C Day11)
A good day
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
7 in my short-list today, all strong consensus favs. The numbers say the prospects are very good for a profit. Fingers crossed for no dramatic turn in the weather.
OUTCOME: Today brought my bookie balances dangerously low at the committing stage. I was taking a chance with the current level of my "Scope," betting to the limit available to me at this time. Fortunately, it worked out. BASIC PLAN +73 (within OVERALL +99)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
Note: I now express these summaries as "Basic Plan within Overall."
C/F to Nov Week 2.5 Day 224 (Phase C: Day 12)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C wef 01/11/06) = +67 (CORRECTED) @ an average of +c6/day .... within OVERALL (Phase 06C only) = -30* points @ an average (this Phase) of -c3/day. Gain-days in Phase 06B: Nov:- 6 Basic Plan (6 Overall) [*see above for this month's overall gain/loss position] Note: Break-even days count as Win ones - a new ruling I've introduced - on the basis that 'if I haven't lost, I must have won,' which, about betting on horses, I think is fair enough!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug:- 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1
215 LingA. VALIANCE/LOST F/c 2/7 Min value odds according to my Odds configuaration stat + 20% = 2.05 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 1.79 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.83
230 Utto. ROLL ALONG/WON F/c 4/7 Min val odds + 20% = 1.83 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.44 Old stat stakes enhancer x 2.00 Halving stakes for multiples waived
520 KempA. ECCOLLO/WON F/c 4/5 Min val odds +20% = 1.53 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.44 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.48
Bets: Capped Basic, Capped Star (except Valiance i.e., no Star bet), 2-Row Doubles (with Naps 1), 2-Row Treble (with Row 2 but no qualifier there today), Place Only (except Valiance), the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN +51
Row 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Supplementary Short-List Combo, Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Ups (Capped re Eccollo & Roll Along) on all the Short-list except Valiance, Xtra S/L Combos if any, Mistakes, Discrepancy [-1.63] OVERALL adjusted to -6
Row 3
Note: I had a mishap posting this diary entry today, managed to lose it when it was finished somehow. So I'll make it a shortened version from here on down:
DENMAN/WON - RULE OF LIFE/2ND - STAR OF MOHAISON/WON (4xNaps) - LIBERTY BEN/WON - MISS FANCY PANTS/2ND
Bets: Place Only (except Star of Mohaison), the 3 Combos, Xtras if any BASIC PLAN +4
Place Only I - on Rows 1 (except Valiance) & 3
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo (including Valiance), LateXtras if any BASIC PLAN +10
Place Only II
KATCHIT/WON - BAROLO/3RD - SUPREME KISS/LOST
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -1
Naps I
ECCOLLO/Won - ROLL ALONG/Won - see above
Bets: Basic, Sequential Double, 2-Row Double (with Row 1), Total Combo, Xtras if any BASIC PLAN +8
Naps II
DENMAN/Won - see above
Bets: Total Combo, Xtras if any BASIC PLAN EVEN [0.00]
My Lay bets - None
Tips
1) Main EW tip to hand is MY WILL/WON 345 Chel.
Bets: Small win, the balance Place Only, to grand total of 21 points [OVERALL +33]
2) Major Lay tip to hand is FIRST BUDDY/2ND
Bet: No bet - no regret [OVERALL N/A]
3) GONE OVERBOARD F/c 4/1 1003 Chur(USA/LOST - from yesterday
No.3 POINT OF REASON F/c 2/1 906 Chur(USA/LOST
KNOWHERE/FELL 240 Chel - JOAACI/LOST 345 Chel.(No bet)
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL -1]
4) Endorsements (Good words):
(a) HARRY COLLINS/2ND - good run - ECCOLLO/Won
Bet: Tiny win [OVERALL EVEN (+0.29)]
(b) PRINCESS TOTO/LOST - KILBEGGAN BLADE/WON
Bets: Small Place Only [OVERALL -1]
Fancies
TIPPERARY STAR/WON - CLOUDED LEOPARD LOST - LOLLA'S SPIRIT LOST - KRISTIANSAND/2ND - UP THE PUB/LOST - KATY CARR/LOST - ARISEA/WON
Bets: Tiny Multi Fancy (EWTrebles) OVERALL -4
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