Bets on May 27 2008
OUTCOME: EVEN BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL EVEN]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: PIRAN/2ND (Row 1). David of bet4place.com had a mixed day of results with his Aussie tips, but I decided to place no bets. I had identified only one bet from today's UK racing but I decided to skip that, too.
Note: I had been edging out from, but am back in, "The Delta Quadrant," again trying to regain "Intermediary Scope." So I compute bets as per usual but only as a guide.
GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY IS AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS ENTRY (Update overdue)
Note: This Phase I tend to limit Rows 1-3 to Win+MopUp bets, occasionally just Place Only in Row 3. I now deduct the value of any Win bets, usually, from the computed Place Only stakes. Another change is that I tend not to combine Base Stakes on Rows, but choose instead the Row I feel pitches the Base Stake at the level with which I feel most comfortable. Currently, too, I consider adding Supplements to Capped stakes on Row 1 qualifiers only (though I still calculate them elsewhere).
C/f to May 29 (Month5Week 4.7+1Phase08BDay 91) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -128* pts … which is part of a deficit of -341 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -739 pts (this year not going to plan so far!) ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,329 pts.
Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of -c1/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 90 days
15 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE
Summary Day 359 (wef 01/04/07 Month12Wk4.7+3Day359) which brought an end to my Apr to Mar accounting. (I now account Jan-Dec)
BASIC PLAN surplus +112 by 31/03/08 (since 01/01/06) This has to be regarded as breaking even on Basic Plan. Overall, however, the position is vastly different. (Discontinued stat wef 1st April, 2008.) E&OE
Capped bet Supplements: (Place Now (X)/41 pts, Win Now (Z)11 pts) No Win Top Up Supplement indicated; Win & Place Only assumed on PIRAN/2nd,ignored BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only I: Now (S)/52 pts: See Row 1 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN
Short List 'Combo' (C/f (T)/42 pts) No qualifier - Bets: None BASIC PLAN N/A
Total (Place) Combo (C/f E/9 pts) No qualifier – Bet: Place Only Ds, Ts & 5-Fold accum. +Xtras BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: Now (J)/34 pts: 2 qualifiers - 0PL (incl. 0W)2L 0Nr - Bets: No Token Basic/Place Double+Xtra BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.26]
Place Only II: C/f (Q)/53 pts: No qualifier - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Cards: C/f (U)/32 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Boxes: C/f (O)/33 pts: No qualifier - 0PL (incl 0W)0L - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Naps: C/f (O)/43 pts: Did quite well but I rejected them all - Bets: Basic/Capped MopUps BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (B)/30 pts) and bet4value.com (Now (I)/14 pts): 8 tips - 4Pl (incl. 0W)4L 0N - Bets: No Basic/No Value Win bet /LOST,no bet/Place Multiples+Xtras/EVEN assumed BASIC PLAN EVEN
Win Row 1: Now (H)/14 pts: PIRAN/2nd,missed - Bets: No Flat Basic Win/Capped Basic Place Only/No Flat Basic Star Win bet/Missed (Now (O)/33 pts)+No MopUp BASIC PLAN EVEN
Win Row 2: C/f (H)/14 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Capped Basic Win/Capped Basic Place Only/No Flat Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts)+No MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Win Row 3: C/f (N)/23 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (T)/12 pts): No (Aust) Ad Hoc Basic Place bets & No Basic Place Double; No Ad Hoc Win bet on Aussie runner; No 4321 (C/f (Z)11 pts); No Basic Win; No Basic Place; Mistake(s): (Nil); Also: Fees (Nil), Discrepancies (None) [OVERALL EVEN]
No 123 (Win) Combo (C/f 0/6 pts): - Bets: No Basic Sequential Win Double+No MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: Now (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: Capped Basic Win/No Basic Place only BASIC PLAN EVEN
Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips: (1) Hong Kong: (C/f A/10 pts): No tips; (2)
Overall Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: (C/f D/9 pts) No Tip - 0PL(incl. 0W)0L; French, Non-Zone: (C/f D/9 pts) No tips - 0PL (incl. 1W)0L; UAR: (C/f A/10 pts): No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;
Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (


