2006-Nov-9
Diary for Nov 09 2006
Day221Month08Week2.2(Phase 06C Day09)
Classic example of this format on a satisfactory day
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
4 in my short-list today, 1 very strong (FOUNTAIN CRUMBLE/WON), 1 strong (KERSTINO TWO/WON), 1 medium strong (MY TURN NOW/WON), 1 weak (PILCA/WON), distributed between my 3 main Rows (except that I've included Pilca in Row 3, marginally, on "Support"). Fair chance of a profit, I feel, but not sure fire.
OUTCOME: Classic "Delta Quadrant" result. Only 7 points gain came from Win Singles within Rows 1-3.
BASIC PLAN +32 (within OVERALL +41)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
Note: I now express these summaries as "Basic Plan within Overall."
C/F to Nov Week 2.3 Day 222 (Phase C: Day 10)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C wef 01/11/06) = [-11 points] Correction: Even @ an average of -c0/day .... within OVERALL (Phase 06C only) = [-73* points] Correction: - 84* points @ an average (this Phase) of -c9/day. Gain-days in Phase 06B: Nov: 5 Basic Plan (5 Overall) [*see above for this month's overall gain/loss position] Note: Break-even days count as Win ones - a new ruling I've introduced - on the basis that 'if I haven't lost, I must have won,' which, about betting on horses, I think is fair enough!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201]; Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1
140 Taun. FOUNTAIN CRUMBLE/Won F/c 2/7 Min value odds, according to my 'odds configuration' stat, + 20% = 1.60 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 1.74 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.95 Cap stake for the multiples
Bets: Capped Basic, Capped Star ("General" stakes enhancer x 1.51), 2-Row Sequential Double (with Naps 1), 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 2, in this case an enhancement of the existing Double as there is no 3rd qualifier), the 3 Combos Forgot to place 1/3rd of my stake with Centrebet. Replaced it, without supplement, on BF 'In Running' at tiny price. Better than nothing BASIC PLAN +10
Row 2
340 Taun. KERSTINO TWO/Won F/c 4/5 Min value odds + 20% = 1.84 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.51 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.12
Bets: Capped Basic, Token FS + Mop Up, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1 - see above), Place Only, the 3 Combos, Supplementary Short-List Combo, Mistakes, Discrepancy [Negligible] BASIC PLAN +6 plus OVERALL +14
Row 3
100 Ludl. PILCA/ Won F/c 11/8 Included, marginally, for having edged into my short-list, and Support (1xNap)
230 Ludl. MY TURN NOW/Won F/c 4/6 Min val odds + 20% = 2.05 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.51 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.12
Bets: Capped Basic on My Turn Now, Place Only (Pilca), the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN +8
Place Only I - on Row 2
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo (including Fountain Crumble and My Turn Now) BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only II
Ludl: PILCA/Won/GOLD GUEST/FELL/SECRET'S OUT/2ND - RISK CHALLENGE/2ND - lucky
Taun: MAGGIE MATHIAS/WON
Wolv: GOLDEN DESERT/WON
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +3
Naps I
KERSTINO TWO/Won - see above
Bets: Basic, 'Double' (an enhancement of the win bet as there is no 2nd selection), 2-Row Double (with Row 1), Total Combo BASIC PLAN +2
Naps II - No selection
My Lay bets - None
Tips
1) No Main Win tip today [OVERALL N/A]
2) Major Lay tip to hand is EXECUTIVE PADDY/HRS WON F/c 2/1 110 Taun.
It may well lose but its Support is too strong for me. No bet. Correct decision, this time [OVERALL N/A]
3) SILENT STREET F/c 5/1 Race 5 Churc/DID NOT WIN
No.5 DRILLING FOR OIL F/c 5/1 907 Chur(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.10)]
4) Endorsements (Good words):
(a) None to hand
Bet: Tiny win [OVERALL N/A]
(b) Taun: FOUNTAIN CRUMBLE/Won (Win bet) - MATT THE THRASHER/WON - THE GREY MAN/WON - bet not matched (caught out by withdrawal, not for the 1st time) - KERSTINO TWO/Won
Ludl: PILCA/Won/GOLD GUEST/Fell/SECRET'S OUT/2nd - MY TURN NOW/Won (Win bet)
Bets: Small Place Only (except for Win Only races) [OVERALL +5]
Fancies
Ludl: PILCA/Won - CHARLTON KINGS/2ND
Taun: MATT THE THRASHER/Won
Wolv: FLYLOWFLYLONG/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Tiny Multi Fancy (WTrebles), Xtra Multi/A after Pilca
Ling: LAKE SHABLA/2ND/INDICATION/LOST/DUBAI ON/WON
Ludl: PILCA/Won/GOLD GUEST/Fell/SECRET'S OUT/2nd - CHARLTON KINGS/2nd/DRUMAVISH LASS/LOST
Taun: MATT THE THRASHER/Won/ORIGINAL FLY/LOST - THE GREY MAN/Won/TEMPLAR/2ND
Bets: Multi Fancy (3x3/2x2WTrebles), Xtra Multi/A after Pilca/Gold Guest/Secret's Out The 'wrong' horses won, sadly OVERALL -9
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