The Totopoly Kid - Bets on May 25 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets on May 25 2008

OUTCOME: -120 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -118]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: I’M SO LUCKY/FELL BRONZE CANON/WON (Place Only II). David of bet4place.com had a mixed day of results with his Aussie tips, but I faced the afternoon with an unfortunate overnight deficit of 55 pts. I had identified a few bets from today's UK that looked all right on paper.

C/f to May 26 (Month5Week 4.5Phase08BDay89) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -33* pts … which is part of a deficit of -246 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -644 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,234 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-0.38/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 88 days

14 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE 

Capped bet Supplements: (Now (X)/41 pts)  No Win Top Up Supplement indicated; No Win & Place Only; Place Only indicated on (Aust) CALL TO ORDER/2ND,ignored, (UK) the short list/Fell & Won,ignored     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I: C/f (U)/52 pts: None Short-listed - Bets: Basic    BASIC PLAN EVEN
Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts) - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A
Total (Place) Combo (Now F/9 pts)
on all 5 – Bet: Place Only Ds, Ts & 5-Fold accum. +Xtras      BASIC PLAN -25
Place Only I/RSA: Now (I)/34 pts:
2 qualifiers - 0PL (incl. 0W)2L 0Nr - Bets: Token Basic/No Place Double+Xtra    BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only II: Now (R)/53 pts:
See short-list/Fell & Won - 1PL (incl 1W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -23
Cards: C/f (U)/32 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Boxes: Now (P)/33 pts:
REDEMPTION/2ND CLAYMOR HOUSE/LOST - 0PL (incl 0W)0L  - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +4
Place Only III/Naps: Now (O)/43 pts:
BRONZE CANON/Won,MopUp ALL IN THE RED/4TH,MopUp STRATEGIC MOVER/LOST - Bets: Basic/Capped Basic MopUps     BASIC PLAN -17
Place Only III
/bet4place.com (Now (Z)/31 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f  (J)/14 pts): 4 tips - 2Pl (incl 0W)2L 0N  - Bets: Basic/1 Value Win bet (3RD)/Place Multiples+Xtras/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN -55

Win Row 1: C/f (I)/14 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: Flat Basic Win/Capped Basic Place Only/No Flat Basic Star Win bet (C/f (O)/33 pts)+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Win Row 2: C/f (H)/14 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: Capped Basic Win/Capped Basic Place Only/No Flat Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts)+No MopUp      BASIC PLAN N/A
Win Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts:
No qualiifier - Bets: Basic Win+Basic Place Only/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + MopUp     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (T)/12 pts
): No (Aust) Ad Hoc Basic Place bets  & No Basic Place Double;  No Ad Hoc Win bet on Aussie runner; No 4321; No Basic Win; Basic Place bet on ALL IN THE RED/4th - C/f (Z)11 pts) – 0PL (incl. 0W)0L; Mistake(s): (Nil); Also: Fees (Nil), Discrepancies (None - Part reconciled, only)     [OVERALL +2 ]
No 123 (Win) Combo (C/f  0/6 pts)
:  - Bets: No Basic Sequential Win Double+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: Now (Y)/11 pts: No selection -
Bets: Capped Basic Win/No Basic Place only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips: (1) Hong Kong: (Now A/10 pts): 2 tips selected/2ND & LOST; (2) Ireland: Now (K)/14 pts: Tip/LOST; (3) Zone FR (Now E/9 pts): 1 tip/WON - Bet: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -7

Overall Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: (Now D/9 pts) 1 Tip/LOST,missed - 0PL(incl. 0W)1L; French, Non-Zone: (C/f D/9 pts) No tips - 0PL (incl. 1W)0L; UAR: (C/f A/10 pts): No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: (C/f A/10 pts): No tip - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(XAAA)" but expressed above as "(X)/41 pts." Very satisfactory, though the reading seems to have been stuck around this mark for longer than I would have predicted (sobering). Stuck like this it would be losing money were bets being placed, which they aren't at present]


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