The Totopoly Kid - Bets on May 22 2008

The Totopoly Kid

Recent
Links
Categories
Friends
The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets on May 22 2008

OUTCOME: +46 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +46]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: SIXTIES ICON/WON (Row 1) FALBAISE/LUCKY 2ND (Place Only I) SPRINGFIELD RAKI/2ND (Place Only II). David of bet4place.com had a winning day with his Aussie tips, so I faced the afternoon with an overnight surplus of 40 pts. I had a number of bets lined up for the UK racing but was tired and struggled to confidently finalise. I settled for 4 but later reinstated a couple more which were successful. SLEEPY HOLLOW/LOST (Naps II) let the side down, spoiling the multiples, unfortunately.

C/f to May 23 (Month5Week 4.2Phase08BDay86) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated surplus +63* pts … which is part of a deficit of -150 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -555 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,145 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave.surplus of c+1/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 85 days

13 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Capped bet Supplements: (Now (W)/42 pts) No Win & Place Only indicated on SIXTIES ICON/Won,ignored, No Place Only indicated     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I: Now (U)/52 pts: See Short-list/Lucky 2nd - Bets: Basic    BASIC PLAN +6
Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts) - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A
Diminished Total (Win & Place) Combos (Now G/8 pts)
on 3 & 4 qualifiers repectively – Bet: Win Ds&T + No Xtra+MopUps/NET LOSS/
Place Only Ds,Ts&4-Fold accum+No Xtra/NET LOSS      BASIC PLAN -6
Place Only I/RSA: Now (J)/34 pts:
1 qualifier - 1PL (incl. 1W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Token Basic/No Place Double+No Xtra     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.22]
Place Only II: Now (S)/52 pts:
SPRINGFIELD RAKI/2nd - 1PL (incl 0W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +6
Cards: Now (W)/32 pts:
TISHAR/WON - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +4
Boxes: C/f (R)/33 pts:
No qualifier - 0PL (incl 0W)0L  - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Naps: Now (O)/43 pts:
ANY GIVEN DAY/WON SLEEPY HOLLOW/Lost,MopUp ICON PROJECT/WON,MopUp - Bets: Basic/or Basic MopUp     BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only III
/bet4place.com (Now (X)/31 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f (J)/14 pts): 4 tips - 3Pl (incl 0W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Basic/1 Value Win bet (3RD)/Place Multiples+Xtras/NET GAIN     BASIC PLAN +40

Win Row 1: Now (I)/14 pts:
SIXTIES ICON/Won - Bets: Flat Basic Win/Capped Basic Place Only/No Flat Basic Star Win bet (C/f (O)/33 pts)+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN +15
Win Row 2: C/f  (I)/14 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Flat Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts)+No MopUp      BASIC PLAN EVEN
Win Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts:
No qualiifier - Bets: Basic Win+Basic Place Only/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + MopUp     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (V)/11 pts
):  Place bet on (Zone - RSA) 1 tip/3RD,no bet & No Place Double (with POI/RSA); No Ad Hoc Win bet on Aussie runner; No 4321; No Win & Place bets - C/f (Z)11 pts) – 0PL (incl. W)0L; Mistake(s): (Nil); Also: Fees (Nil), Discrepancies (None - Part reconciled, only)     [OVERALL EVEN ]
No 123 (Win) Combo (C/f  0/6 pts)
- Bets: No Basic Sequential Win Double+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: Now (O)/23 pts:
SLEEPY HOLLOW/LOST ICON PROJECT/WON Bets (Double stakes): Basic Win/Basic Place only     BASIC PLAN -7

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips: (1) Hong Kong: (C/f (Z)/11 pts): No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (H)/14 pts: Tip/UNSEATED; (3) Zone FR (Now F/9 pts): 1 tip/LOST - Bet: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -10

Overall Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: (C/f D/9 pts) No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French, Non-Zone: (C/f D/9 pts) No tips - 0PL (incl. 1W)0L; UAR: (C/f A/10 pts): No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: (C/f A/10 pts): No tip - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (unchanged) AMD reads strictly "(WAAA)" but expressed above as "(W)/42 pts." Very satisfactory, though the reading seems to have been stuck around this mark for longer than I would have predicted (sobering). Stuck like this it would be losing money were bets being placed, which they aren't at present]


Previous 10 of 611 Next

Disclaimer: BfBlogs is not an official Betfair site and is no way affiliated to Betfair. BfBlogs is not responsible for any posts or comments published that reflect bloggers views on any topic posted on the BfBlogs.com website.

Betfair User Blogs | Free Betfair Ebook | Betfair Tutorials | Exchange Forums | Punters Realm | Sports Tips Forum