The Totopoly Kid - Bets on May 20 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets on May 20 2008

OUTCOME: -81 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -117]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short list. David of bet4place.com had a losing day with his Aussie tips, so I faced the afternoon with an overnight deficit of 27 pts. I had a small number of bets lined up for the UK racing but, unfortunately, two hefty Place Onlys lost. Given they had not made the short-list, I was perhaps foolish to allow them to stay as big as they had computed.

C/f to May 21 (Month5Week 3.7Phase08BDay84) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated surplus +3* pts … which is part of a deficit of -206 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -615 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,205 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave.surplus of c+0.04/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 83 days

11 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Capped bet Supplements: (Now (X)/41 pts) No Win & Place Only indicated, Place Only indicated on (Aust) RUSTIC ROSSA/LOST,ignored   BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I: C/f (V)/52 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Token Basic    BASIC PLAN N/A
Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts) - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A
Ad Hoc Total Win Combo (C/f E/9 pts)
on Row 3, Cards & POIII/Naps – Bet:
Place Only Ds,Ts&4-Fold accum. +MopUps+Xtras/NET LOSS      [OVERALL -38 (The Mop Ups made it this high)]
Place Only I/RSA: Now (L)/34 pts:
3 qualifiers - 1PL (incl. 0W)1L 1Nr - Bets: Token Basic/Place Double+(overlooked)No Xtra/LOST     BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only II: C/f (U)/52 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A
Cards: Now (Y)/31 pts:
PROUD LINUS/LOST - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -21
Boxes: C/f (Q)/33 pts:
No qualifier  - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Naps: Now (P)/43 pts:
YES SIR/LOST, EXCAPE/WON,MopUp KASUMI/WON,MopUp - Bets: Basic (or Basic MopUp)     BASIC PLAN -31
Place Only III
/bet4place.com (Now (A)/30 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f  (I)/14 pts): 4 tips - 2Pl (incl 1W)2L 0Nr - Bets: Basic (Multiples+Xtras/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN -27

Win Row 1: C/f  (K)/14 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Flat Basic Star Win bet (C/f (O)/33 pts)+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Win Row 2: C/f  (I)/14 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Flat Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts)+No MopUp      BASIC PLAN EVEN
Win Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts:
Infiltrated on Support: EXCAPE/Won KUSAMI/Won - Bets: (Exceptionally) Tiny Basic Win+Normal Basic Place Only/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + MopUp     BASIC PLAN +3
Misc. Ad Hoc bets (C/f  (X)/11 pts
):  No Ad Hoc Win bet on Aussie runner; No 4321; No Win & Place bets - C/f (Z)11 pts) – 0PL (incl. W)0L; Mistake(s): A couple of minor ones (Mixed advantage); Also: Fees (Nil), Discrepancies (Not checked)     [OVERALL EVEN]
No 123 (Win) Combo (C/f  0/6 pts)
- Bets: No Basic Sequential Win Double+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: C/f (Q)/23 pts:
No selection Bets: Flat Basic Win+Token MopUp     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips: (1) Hong Kong: (C/f (Z)/11 pts): No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (F)/15 pts: Tip/LOST; (3) Zone FR – (C/f E/9 pts): No tip - Bet: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN [-0.16]

Overall Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: (C/f D/9 pts) No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French, Non-Zone: (C/f D/9 pts) No tips - 0PL (incl. 1W)0L; UAR: (C/f A/10 pts): No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: (C/f A/10 pts): No tip - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(XAAA)" but expressed above as "(X)/41 pts." Very satisfactory, though the reading seems to have been stuck around this mark for longer than I would have predicted (sobering). Stuck like this it would be losing money were bets being placed, which they aren't at present]


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