The Totopoly Kid - Bets for May 19 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for May 19 2008

OUTCOME: +13 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +13]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: ROYAL DIGNITY/WON & OFAREL D'AIRY/WON (Place Only II). David of bet4place.com had a losing day with his Aussie tips, so I entered the UK races with a deficit of 11 pts. I had a small number lined up for the UK racing and. fortunately, all bar REGAL STEP either placed or won.

C/f to May 20 (Month5Week 3.6Phase08BDay83) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated surplus +84* pts … which is part of a deficit of -125 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -498 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,088 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. surplus of c+1/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 82 days

11 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Summary Day 359 (wef 01/04/07 Month12Wk4.7+3Day359) which brought an end to my Apr to Mar accounting. (I now account Jan-Dec)

BASIC PLAN surplus +112 by 31/03/08 (since 01/01/06) This has to be regarded as breaking even on Basic Plan. Overall, however, the position is vastly different. (Discontinued stat wef 1st April, 2008.) E&OE

Capped bet Supplements: (Now (W)/42 pts) No Win & Place Only indicated, Place Only indicated on WATASHIRTFULL/2ND,ignored REGAL DIGNITY/Won,ignored    BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I: C/f (V)/52 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Token Basic    BASIC PLAN N/A
Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts) - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A
Diminished Total Place Combo (Now F/9 pts)
on POII&POIII/Naps+WOTASHIRTFULL/2nd from Boxes – Bet:
Place Only Ds,Ts&5-Fold accum. +No Xtra     BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only I/RSA: Now (K)/34 pts:
1 qualifier - 0PL (incl. 0W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Token Basic/No Place Double+No Xtra     BASIC PLAN  EVEN [-0.38]
Place Only II: Now  (U)/52 pts:
Short-list/Won x 2 - Bets: Reduced Basic     BASIC PLAN +7
Cards: C/f  (X)/31 pts:
  No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Boxes: Now  (Q)/33 pts:
WOTASHIRTFULL/2nd REDEMPTION/WON EDE'S/WON  - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +23
Place Only III/Naps: Now (O)/43 pts:
MARNING STAR/WON REGAL STEP/LOST - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -3
Place Only III
/bet4place.com (Now (Z)/31 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f  (I)/14 pts): 4 tips - 2Pl (incl 0W)2L 0Nr - Bets: Basic (Multiples+Xtras/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN -11

Win Row 1: C/f  (K)/14 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Flat Basic Star Win bet (C/f (O)/33 pts)+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Win Row 2: C/f  (I)/14 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Flat Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts)+No MopUp      BASIC PLAN EVEN
Win Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only/Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Misc. Ad Hoc bets (C/f  (X)/11 pts
):  No Win bet on Aussie runner; 4321(No  Win & Place bets - C/f (Z)11 pts) – 0PL (incl. W)0L; Mistake(s): Minor (Advantage); Also: Fees (Nil), Discrepancies (Not checked)     [OVERALL EVEN]
No 123 (Win) Combo (C/f  0/6 pts)
- Bets: No Basic Sequential Win Double+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: C/f (Q)/23 pts:
No selection Bets (Double stakes indicated): Flat Basic Win+Token MopUp     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips: (1) Hong Kong: (C/f (Z)/11 pts): No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (E)/15 pts: Tip/LOST; (3) Zone FR – (C/f E/9 pts): No tip - Bet: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -1

Overall Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: (C/f D/9 pts) No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French, Non-Zone: (C/f D/9 pts) No tips - 0PL (incl. 1W)0L; UAR: (C/f A/10 pts): No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: (C/f A/10 pts): No tip - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ...

[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(WAAA)" but expressed above as "(W)/42 pts." Very satisfactory.]


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