The Totopoly Kid - Bets for May 17 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for May 17 2008

OUTCOME: +7 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +9]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: WILD IS THE WIND/WON (Row 1) & MISSILE DODGER/LOST (Row 2). David of bet4place.com had a winning day with his tips so I entered the UK races with a surplus of 13 pts. I had listed a fair number of runners for possible UK bets but rejected most of them. I’m getting very picky.

C/f to May 18 (Month5Week 3.4Phase08BDay81) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated surplus 107* pts … which is part of a deficit of -102 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -475 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,065 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. surplus of c+1/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 80 days

10 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Capped bet Supplements: (Now (W)/42 pts) No Win & Place Only indicated, Place Only indicated on WILD IS THE WIND/Won     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I: Now (W)/52 pts: Short-list/Won,no bet - Bets: Basic    BASIC PLAN EVEN
Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts) - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A
No Total Place Combo (C/f D/9 pts)
Omitted – Bet: No Basic Place Ds,Ts&4-Fold Accum+No Xtra     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only I/RSA: Now (K)/34 pts:
2 qualifiers - 1PL (incl. 0W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Token Basic/Place Double+No Xtra     BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only II: Now  (U)/52 pts:
MISSILE DODGER/Lost,no bet - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Cards: C/f  (X)/31 pts:
  No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Boxes: C/f  (R)/33 pts
No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Naps: C/f (P)/43 pts:
No selection - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only III
/bet4place.com (Now (X)/31 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f  (H)/14 pts): 8 tips - 5Pl (incl 1W)3L 0Nr - Bets: Basic (Multiples+Xtras/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN +13

Win Row 1: Now  (K)/14 pts:
WILD IS THE WIND/Won - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/ Flat Basic Star Win bet (Now (O)/33 pts)+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN +15
Win Row 2: Now  (I)/14 pts: 
MISSILE DODGER/Lost - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/Flat Basic FS Win (Now (L)/13 pts)+No MopUp      BASIC PLAN -14
Win Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only/Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now  (W)/11 pts
):  4321(No  Win & Place bets - C/f (Z)11 pts) 3 bets – 1PL (incl. 1W)2L; Mistake(s): I should have located Missile Dodger in Row 3 instead of 2 (Minor disadvantage); Also: Fees (-2), Discrepancies (Not checked)     [OVERALL -2]
123 (Win) Combo (Now  0/6 pts)
: On Rows 1&2,1st Leg only/LOST – 2nd Leg aborted - Bets: Basic Sequential Win Double+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN -7
Naps II: C/f  (R)/23 pts:
No selection Bets (Double stakes): Basic Win/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips: (1) Hong Kong: (C/f (Z)/11 pts): No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (E)/15 pts: Tip/LOST (3) Zone: (FR – Now D/9 pts): 1 tip/WON - Bet: Basic Place Only (Token on Irish tip)     BASIC PLAN +1

Overall Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: (Now D/9 pts) 2 Tips/LOST,no bet - 0PL(incl 0W)2L; French, Non-Zone: (C/f  E/9 pts) No tip - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: Now A/10 pts: BIG BROWN/WON,win bet - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL +3]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.  ... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(WAAA)" but expressed above as "(W)/42 pts." Very satisfactory.]


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