The Totopoly Kid - Bets for May 16 2008

The Totopoly Kid

Recent
Links
Categories
Friends
The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for May 16 2008

OUTCOME: +35 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +35]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: WOODFALL TREASURE/WON (Place Only 1). David of bet4place.com had a winning day with his tips so I entered the UK races with a surplus of 20 pts. I had listed a fair number of runners for possible UK bets but rejected most of them and went to bed.

C/f to May 17 (Month5Week 3.3Phase08BDay79) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated surplus 100* pts … which is part of a deficit of -109 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -484 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,074 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. surplus of c+1/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 79 days

9 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Capped bet Supplements: (Now (X)/41 pts) No Win & Place Only indicated, Place Only indicated on WOODFALL TREASURE/Won GENEROUS SPIRIT/LOST     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I: Now (X)/51 pts: Short-list/Won,no bet - Bets: Basic    BASIC PLAN EVEN
Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts) - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A
Diminished Total Place Combo (Now E/9 pts)
on POI&II and Naps II – Bet: Token Basic Place Ds,Ts&4-Fold Accum+No Xtra     BASIC PLAN EVEN (-0.35)
Place Only I/RSA: Now (J)/34 pts:
1 qualifier - 0PL (incl. 0W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Token Basic/Place Treble+No Xtra     BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only II: Now  (Y)/51 pts:
GLAMOROUS SPIRIT/Lost,no bet - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Cards: C/f  (X)/31 pts:
  No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Boxes: C/f  (R)/33 pts
No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Naps: Now (P)/43 pts:
HONOLULU/LOST,no bet + MopUp on Naps II/Won,no bet - Bets: Basic (Mop Up on ALLIED POWERS)     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only III
/bet4place.com (Now (Y)/31 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f  (G)/14 pts): 8 tips - 5Pl (incl 3W)3L 0Nr - Bets: Basic (Multiples+No Xtra/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN +20

Win Row 1: C/f  (M)/13 pts: No selection - Bets:
Basic Win+ MopUp/ Star Win bet (C/f (P)/33 pts)+MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Win Row 2: C/f  (F)/14 pts: 
No qualifier - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/No Basic Place Only/Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts) +MopUp      BASIC PLAN N/A
Win Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only/Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (X)/11 pts
): No 4321 Win & Place bets (C/f (Z)11 pts), No Basic Win bet; No Randum staked Win bets; No Basic Place; Mistake(s): I think I should have done a win bet on Woodfall Treasure  (Some disadvantage); Also: No Fees, Discrepancies (Not checked)     [OVERALL EVEN]
No 123 (Win) Combo (C/f  N/6 pts)
: No qualifiers - Bets: Basic Win Doubles/EWTreble+MopUps+Xtra     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: Now (R)/23 pts:
ALLIED POWERS/WonBets (Double stakes): Basic Win/(missed)Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +16

Zone: (FR – C/f E/9 pts): 1 tip/2ND,missed - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN]

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips: (1) Hong Kong: (C/f (Z)/11 pts): No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (D)/15 pts: Tip/WON,missed - Bet: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: (Now D/9 pts) 2 Tips/LOST - 0PL(incl 0W)2L; French: (Now E/9 pts) No tip - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: C/f B/10 pts: No tip - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. … [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(XAAA)" but expressed above as "(X)/41 pts." Very satisfactory.]


Previous 16 of 611 Next

Disclaimer: BfBlogs is not an official Betfair site and is no way affiliated to Betfair. BfBlogs is not responsible for any posts or comments published that reflect bloggers views on any topic posted on the BfBlogs.com website.

Betfair User Blogs | Free Betfair Ebook | Betfair Tutorials | Exchange Forums | Punters Realm | Sports Tips Forum