The Totopoly Kid - Bets for May 15 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for May 15 2008

OUTCOME: +23 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -23]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: KADOUNT/WON (Place Only 1). David of bet4place.com had an excellent day with his tips so I entered the UK races with a surplus of 40 pts. I had listed a higher than usual number of runners for possible UK bets but rejected most of them. However, the after noon did not go well enough and I celebrated with a series of Ad Hoc Win bets chasing compensation that failed to come.

C/f to May 16 (Month5Week 3.2Phase08BDay78) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated surplus 65* pts … which is part of a deficit of -144 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -519 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,109 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. surplus of c+1/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 78 days

8 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Capped bet Supplements: (Now (W)/42 pts) No Win & Place Only indicated, Place Only indicated on KADOUNT/Won CARDINAL SPIRIT/2ND DESIRE TO EXCEL/LOST     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I: Now (Y)/51 pts: Short-list/Won,no bet - Bets: Basic    BASIC PLAN EVEN
Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts) - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A
Diminished Total Place Combo (Now D/10 pts)
on POI&II – Bet: Place Ds,Ts&4-Fold Accum+No Xtra     BASIC PLAN -4
Place Only I/RSA: Now (I)/34 pts:
3 qualifiers - 3PL (incl. 3W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Token Basic/Place Treble+No Xtra     BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only II: Now  (X)/51 pts:
TWICE OVER/LOST,no bet DESIRE TO EXCEL/Lost,no bet CARDINAL SPIRIT/2nd,no bet - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Cards: C/f  (X)/31 pts:
  No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Boxes: C/f  (R)/33 pts
No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Naps: Now (O)/43 pts:
MopUps on Naps I/LOST,no bet - Bets: Basic Mop Up     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only III
/bet4place.com (Now (Z)/31 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f  (H)/14 pts): 8 tips - 8Pl (incl 3W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Basic (Multiples+No Xtra/WON    BASIC PLAN +40

Win Row 1: C/f  (M)/13 pts: No selection - Bets:
Basic Win+ MopUp/ Star Win bet (C/f (P)/33 pts)+MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Win Row 2: C/f  (F)/14 pts: 
No qualifier - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/No Basic Place Only/Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts) +MopUp      BASIC PLAN N/A
Win Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts:
No qualifier - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only/Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (X)/11 pts
): No 4321 Win & Place bets (C/f (Z)11 pts), No Basic Win bet; 9 X Randum staked Win bets – 3W6L(incl.2PL); No Basic Place; Mistake(s): (Now P/5 pts)  I think I should have done a win bet on Kadount, but  my Ad Hoc Win bets spree was a serious mistake  (Some disadvantage); Also: No Fees, Discrepancies (Negligible)     [OVERALL -46]
No 123 (Win) Combo (C/f  N/6 pts)
: No qualifiers - Bets: Basic Win Doubles/EWTreble+MopUps+Xtra     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: Now (X)/11 pts:
TWICE OVER/LostBets (Triple stakes): Basic Win/(missed)Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -15

Zone: (FR – C/f E/9 pts): No tip - Bets: No Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips: (1) Hong Kong: (C/f (Z)/11 pts): No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (E)/15 pts: Tip/WON - Bet: Reduced Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -2

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: (C/f B/10 pts) No Tip - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: (Now E/9 pts) No tip - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: C/f B/10 pts: No tip - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. … [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(WAAA)" but expressed above as "(W)/42 pts." Very satisfactory.]


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