2008-May-12
Bets for May 12 2008
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short list. David of bet4place.com had a mixed day with his tips but I entered the UK races with a gain of 66 pts thanks to a win bet success on his "value" tip. I thought there was a good chance I might lose some of it on the rest of my betting and, indeed, did so on the one further bet I chose.
C/f to May 13 (Month5Week 2.6Day??Phase08BDay76) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated surplus 78* pts … which is part of a deficit of -131 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -462 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,056 pts.
Since 01.03.08 Ave. surplus of c+1/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 75 days
7 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE
Capped bet Supplements: (Now (X)/41 pts) Place Only indicated on (FR)(TopUp) TROIS ROIS/LOST,ignored (UK) MULTICULTURAL/2ND,ignored BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only I: C/f (A)/50 pts: No qualifier- Bets: No Basic BASIC PLAN N/AShort List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts) - Bets: None BASIC PLAN N/A
Diminished Total Place Combo (C/f E/9 pts) No bet BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: Now (I)/34 pts: 1qualifier - 1PL (incl. 0W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Token Basic/No Ad Hoc Place Multiple) BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only II: C/f (W)/52 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Cards: Now (Y)/31 pts: STOOP JOHNB/LOST,ignored TOPAZES/WON,ignored - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN
Boxes: Now (P)/33 pts: MULTICULTURAL/2nd,ignored - Bets: Capped Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only III/Naps: Now (N)/43 pts: MULTICULTURAL/2nd,ignored - Bets: Basic Mop Up BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (B)/30 pts) and bet4value.com (Now (I)/14 pts): 8 tips - 3Pl (incl 1W)3L 2Nr - Bets: Basic/Multiples+No Xtra/NET GAINS BASIC PLAN +66
Win Row 1: C/f (N)/13 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Capped Basic Win/Capped Basic Place/No Star Win bet (C/f (P)/33 pts)+No MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Win Row 2: C/f (G)/14 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts) +No MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Win Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win)/No Basic Place Only/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + No MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (X)/11 pts): No Basic Place; No Randum staked Place; No Basic Place; Mistake(s): Should have capped the FR bet (Now P/5 pts): (-11); Also: No Fees, Discrepancies (Partially reconciled) [OVERALL -11]
123 (Win) Combo (C/f K/7 pts): Bets: No Win Double/EWTreble+MopUps+Xtra BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: C/f (Q)/23 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+No Mop Up BASIC PLAN EVEN
Zone: (FR - C/f D/9 pts): No tip- Bets: No Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips: (1) Hong Kong: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (F)/15 pts: Tip/2ND,ignored - Bet: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN
Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: (C/f B/10 pts) No Tip - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: (Now E/9 pts) 1 Tip/LOST - 0PL (incl. 0W)1L; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: C/f B/10 pts: No tip - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL -10]
Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win [OVERALL PENDING]
GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ...
[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(XAAA)" but expressed above as "(X)/41 pts." Very satisfactory.]
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