2008-May-9
Bets for May 09 2008
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: RAYVIN MAD/3RD (Place Only II). David of bet4place.com had a good-ish day with his tips but, the way my cookie crumbled, I entered the UK races with a deficit of 6 pts. My rough list on those was too long for my cash-flow and I rejected what turned out to be 7 winners & 4 losers altogether, so probably made the right decision in that it is likely I would have chosen at least 1 x Place Only loser in my final line-up.
C/f to May 10 (Month5Week 2.3Day??Phase08BDay73) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -15* pts … which is part of a deficit of -224 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -544 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,138 pts.
Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-0.21/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 72 days
5 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE
Note: I've reorganised the layout, today, putting the main Place Only rows at the top.
Capped bet Supplements: (Now (Y)/41 pts) Place Only indicated on RAYVIN MAD/3rd,ignored BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only I: C/f (A)/50 pts: No qualifier- Bets: No Basic/ BASIC PLAN N/AShort List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts) - Bets: None BASIC PLAN N/A
Total Place Combo (Now B/10 pts) on Row POIII/Naps (Sequential Place D) BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only I/RSA: Now (L)/34 pts: 3 qualifiers - 3PL (incl. 3W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Token Basic/Ad Hoc Place Double on 2(Treble not accepted by bookie) BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only II: Now (W)/52 pts: RAYVIN MAD/3rd - Bets: Reduced Capped Basic BASIC PLAN +2 Boxes: Now (Q)/33 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN
Cards: Now (X)/31 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only III/Naps: Now (N)/43 pts: TAWAASH/WON RAYVIN MAD/3rd - Bets: Reduced Basic (Capped on Rayvin M: shoud have been a Mop Up only but no matter) BASIC PLAN +4
Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (E)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f (I)/14 pts): 4 tips - 2Pl (incl 2W)1L 1Nr - Bets: Basic/Multiples+Xtra/NET GAIN BASIC PLAN -6
Win Row 1: C/f (N)/13 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Capped Basic Win/Capped Basic Place/No Star Win bet (C/f (P)/33 pts)+No MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Win Row 2: Now (G)/14 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts) +No MopUp BASIC PLAN EVEN
Win Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win)/No Basic Place Only/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + No MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Misc. Ad Hoc bets (C/f (X)/11 pts): No Basic Win bet+MopUps; No Randum staked Place; No Basic Place; No Mistake(s): (Now N/6 pts): (Nil); Also: No Fees, No Discrepancies (Unchecked) [OVERALL EVEN]
123 (Win) Combo (C/f K/7 pts): Bets: No Win Double/EWTreble+MopUps+Xtra BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: C/f (Q)/23 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+No Mop Up BASIC PLAN EVEN
Zone: (FR - C/f D/9 pts): No tip - Bets: No Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips: (1) Hong Kong: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (G)/14 pts: Tip/3RD - Bet: Reduced Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +1
Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: Now A/10 pts: 1 Tip - 1PL(incl 1W)0L; French: C/f D/9 pts: No Tips - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: C/f B/10 pts: No tip - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +1]
Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win [OVERALL PENDING]
GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ...
[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(YAAA)" but expressed above as "(Y)/41 pts." Very satisfactory.]
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