The Totopoly Kid - Bets for May 08 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for May 08 2008

OUTCOME: +24 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +23]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: HAYDEN'S MARK/WON LITTLE LU/WON (Place Only I) NEMETAN/2ND (Place Only II). David of bet4place.com had a good day with his tips so I entered the UK races with a surplus of 14 pts. I liked the look of my stats on my UK qualifiers but had no money to risk on them to speak of. So I decided to just chance my usual multiple and, this time, it paid off.

C/f to May 09 (Month5Week 2.2Day??Phase08BDay72) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -20* pts … which is part of a deficit of -229 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -550 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,144 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-0.28/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 71 days

4 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: C/f (N)/13 pts: No qualifier - [Bets: Capped Basic Win/Capped Basic Place/No Star Win bet (C/f (P)/33 pts)+No MopUp]     BASIC PLAN N/A

Row 2: Now (H)/14 ptsNo qualifier - [Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts) +No MopUp; Capped bet Supplements: (Now (Z)/41 pts) [Win bet; Win & Place;] Place bet indicated on LITTLE LU/Won,ignored; Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (X)/11 pts): [Basic Win bet+MopUps;] Randum staked Place bet on (RSA-Zone) WELD/2ND; [Basic Place;] No Mistake(s): (C/f O/6 pts): (Nil); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL +1]

Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts: No qualifier - [Bets: No Basic Win)/No Basic Place Only/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + No MopUp]     BASIC PLAN N/A
No 123 Combo (C/f K/7 pts)
: [Bets: No Win Double/EWTreble+MopUps+Xtra]    
BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I: Now (A)/50 pts: Short list/Both won,no single bets - Bets: No Basic/No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)/Total Place Combo (Now C/10 pts) on Rows POI&II Place D/Ts,5-Fold accum.)     BASIC PLAN +9

Place Only I/RSA: Now (M)/34 pts: 3 qualifiers - 3PL (incl. 3W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Basic/Ad Hoc Place Treble     BASIC PLAN +2

Place Only II: Now (X)/51 pts: NEMETAN/2nd,no single bet - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Boxes: Now (Q)/33 pts: No qualifier [3 rejected: 1W2PL] - Bets: No Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Cards: Now (X)/31 pts:  GREEN DAY PACKER/3RD,no single bet AVANT GUARDISTE/2ND,no single bet BOLODENKA/NO RUN - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps II: C/f (Q)/23 pts: No selection - [Bets: No Basic Win+No Mop Up]     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/Naps: C/f (O)/43 pts: No selection - [Bets: Basic]  BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (D)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f (I)/14 pts): 4 tips - 4Pl (incl 1W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Basic/Multiples/WON    BASIC PLAN +14

Zone: (FR - C/f D/9 pts): No tip - Bets: No Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips (recently re-organised): (1) Hong Kong: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (H)/14 pts: Tip/2ND - Bet: EW     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.46]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: Now B/10 pts: 1 Tip - 0PL(incl 0W)1L; French: C/f D/9 pts: No Tips - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: C/f B/10 pts: No tip - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL -1]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
...
[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated
) AMD reads strictly "(ZAAA)" but expressed above as "(Z)/41 pts." Very satisfactory.]


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