The Totopoly Kid - Bets for May 06 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for May 06 2008

OUTCOME: -86 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -86]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: YAKIMOV/2ND (Row 1). David of bet4place.com had a mixed day with his tips but I still entered the UK races with a gain of 4 pts. There had been the disappointment of a sigificant selection coming 4th in Australia, but it turned out to be just the 1st of a series of bets that went down today. It was 'one of those' days when little or nothing goes right. Poor timing for this to happen as my cash-flow is unfavourable at the minute. I am going to have to go easy for a few days.

C/f to May 07 (Month5Week 1.7Day??Phase08BDay70) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -29* pts … which is part of a deficit of -238 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -558 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,152 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-0.42/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 69 days

3 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: Now (N)/13 pts: Short list/2nd - Bets: Capped Basic Win/Capped Basic Place/No Star Win bet (C/f (P)/33 pts)+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN -25

Row 2: Now (I)/14 ptsNo qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts) +No MopUp; Capped bet Supplements: (Now (A)/40 pts) No Win bet; Win & Place indicated on YAKIMOV/2nd,ignored; Place bet indicated on (Aust) RAEBURN/WON,ignored (UK) ROBBER'S GLEN/WON & ROYAL DIGNITY/WON,both ignored; Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (Y)/11 pts): No Basic Win bet+MopUps; No Randum staked bet; Capped Basic Place bet on ROYAL DIGNITY/Won,missed; Mistake(s): Missed bets (C/f N/6 pts): (Minor loss); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN N/A [plus OVERALL EVEN]

Row 3: C/f (O)/23 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win)/No Basic Place Only/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
No 123 Combo (C/f K/7 pts)
: Bets: No Win Double/EWTreble+MopUps+Xtra    
BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I: Now (C)/50 pts: YAKIMOV/2nd COURT OF APPEAL/LOST - Bets: Reduced Capped Basic on Yakimov, Basic on Court Of A./No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN -26

Place Only I/RSA: C/f (N)/33 pts: No qualifiers - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L 0Nr - Bets: No Basic/Place Double     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only II: Now (X)/51 pts: ROBBER'S GLEN/WON - Bets: Reduced Capped Basic     BASIC PLAN +6

Cards: Now (Y)/31 pts: SOUND OF CHEERS/WON FLIGHT LEADER/2ND - Bets: Basic Place Only (Reduced on Flight Leader)     BASIC PLAN +4

Boxes: Now (S)/32 pts: OUMEYADE/FELL NEMETAN/WON - Bets: Reduced Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -12

Naps II: C/f (Q)/23 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+No Mop Up     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/Naps: Now (O)/43 pts: MARNING STAR/3RD COURT OF APPEAL (MopUp) OUMEYADE (Mop Up) YAKIMOV (Mop Up) WOOD CHORUS/2ND - Bets: Basic (Reduced on Wood Chorus)/Total Place Combo (Now D/9 pts) Place Ds/T on Rows POI&II   BASIC PLAN -36

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (D)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f (H)/14 pts): 4 tips - 1Pl (incl 1W)2L 1Nr - Bets: Basic (Capped on 1)/Sequential Double(2ndLeg only)/LOST    BASIC PLAN +4

Zone: (FR - C/f D/9 pts): No tip - Bets: No Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips (recently re-organised): (1) Hong Kong: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier; (2) Ireland: C/f (H)/14 pts: No tip - Bet: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f (Z)/11 pts: No Tip - 1PL(incl 0W)1L; French: C/f D/9 pts: No Tips - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA: C/f B/10 pts:  - Bets: No Basic Place Only    [OVERALL N/A]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: CENTENIAL (Derby 7/06/08) - Bets: Basic Win     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
...
[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated
) AMD reads strictly "(AAA)" but expressed above as "(A)/40 pts." Very satisfactory.]


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