The Totopoly Kid

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: KANDAHAR RUN/WON (Row 1). David of bet4place.com, back from holiday, had a good day with his tips. So I entered the UK races with a nice cushion of 60 pts. This was as well because I had found UK bets hard to compile with any confidence. Unfortunately, I overlooked (again!) my policy of not backing to win any non-qualifier that I have "infiltrated on Support" into Row 3: today HAZELRIGG/LOST. Worse, because I did, I also entered into a Sequential Double with it as one of the pair.

C/f to May 04 (Month5Week 1.4Day??Phase08BDay67) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated surplus +69* pts … which is part of a deficit of -140 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -460 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,054 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. surplus of c+1/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 66 days

2 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: Now (L)/13 pts: Short list/Won - Bets: Capped Basic Win/No Basic Place avail/No Star Win bet (C/f (P)/33 pts)+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN +9

Row 2: Now (H)/14 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts) +No MopUp; Capped bet Supplements: (Now (A)/40 pts) Win bet indicated on KANDAHAR RUN/Won,ignored; Win & Place indicated on HAZELRIGG/Lost,ignored; Place bet indicated on (Aust) MATZUMI/3RD,ignored, (RSA)MYTHICAL FLIGHT/LOST & SEA CHEST (Top Up)/WON,both ignored, (UK) BARNACLE BILL/WON/INNOMINATE/2ND,both ignored; Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (Z)/11 pts): Basic Win bet+MopUps on HAZELRIGG/Lost & MAJUBA/2ND; No Randum staked bet; No Basic Place bet; Basic Ad Hoc 123 Combo (Sequential Win Double)/NET LOSS, (Aust) 7-Leg All-up Place Multiple+Xtras (Now H/8 pts)/NET GAIN; Mistake(s): (Now N/6 pts): Luckily juxtaposed the stakes on 2 RSA bets; but I should not have done a Row 3 Win bet today (Net disadvantage, significant); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL -15]

Row 3: Now (O)/23 pts: Infiltrated on Support: HAZELRIGG/Lost - Bets: No Basic Win (see Ad Hoc win bet)/Capped Basic Place Only/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + No MopUp     BASIC PLAN -8
No 123 Combo (C/f K/7 pts):  But I did an Ad Hoc one - Bets: No Win Double/EWTreble+MopUps+Xtra     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I: C/f (B)/50 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic/No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/RSA: Now (M)/34 pts: 4 qualifiers - 3PL (incl. 2W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Basic (Capped on 2)/4-Fold Place Accum.+Xtra/NET EVEN     BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only II: Now (Y)/51 pts: MR BARNACLE/Won/INNOMINATE/2nd - Bets: Reduced Capped Basic     BASIC PLAN +6

Cards: Now (A)/30 pts: MAJUBA/2nd SHALONE/WON - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +3

Boxes: C/f (S)/32 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps II: C/f (S)/22 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+No Mop Up     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/Naps: Now (R)/43 pts: NEWAPPROACH/2ND,triple stakes IBN KHALDUN/LOST HAZELRIGG/Lost (Mop Up only) TERRY'S TIP/3RD - Bets: Basic/No Total Place Combo (C/f B/10 pts)     BASIC PLAN +2

Place Only III/bet4place.com (C/f (F)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f (K)/14 pts): 8 tips - 7Pl (incl 2W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Basic (reduced Capped on 1)/2xPlace multiples-Doubles/trebles/4-Folds/NET GAINS     BASIC PLAN +42

Zone: (FR - C/f A/10 pts): No tip - Bets: No Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips (re-organised): (1) Hong Kong: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (H)/14 pts: 1 tip/2ND - Bet: Basic EW today     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.17]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f (Z)/11 pts: No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L;USA (Kentucky Derby): N ow B/10 pts: COLONEL JOHN/LOST - Bets: Basic Place Only    [OVERALL -2]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL EVEN]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ...
[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(AAA)" but expressed above as "(A)/40 pts." Very satisfactory.]