The Totopoly Kid - Bets for May 02 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for May 02 2008

OUTCOME: +44 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +31]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: FIRST BUDDY/WON (Row 1). Came out of the Aussie racing overnight with a 13 pts deficit, alas. (David of bet4place.com is back from holiday tomorrow, thank goodness.) My reduced stakes for the UK races had computed significantly high as a guide, so a good day looked on. My Win bet succeeding & only one minor failure of the Place Onlys made it so.

C/f to May 03 (Month5Week 1.3Day??Phase08BDay66) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated surplus +14* pts … which is part of a deficit of -195 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -499 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,093 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. surplus of c+0.22/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 65 days

1 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: Now (M)/13 pts: Short list/Won - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place (see POI)/Flat Star Win bet (Now (P)/33 pts)+Capped MopUp     BASIC PLAN +18

Row 2: Now (G)/14 ptsNo qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/No Basic Place Only/No Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts) +No MopUp; Capped bet Supplements: (Now (Z)/41 pts) No Win bet; No Win & Place; Place bet indicated on (Aust) RUFUS RIVER/2ND,ignored, (UK) 'top up' indicated on FIRST BUDDY/Won,ignored; No Misc. Ad Hoc bets (C/f (Y)/11 pts): No Basic Win bet+MopUp; No Randum staked bet; No Basic Place bet; No Basic Ad Hoc ?-Leg All-up Place Multiple+Xtras (C/f I/8 pts); Mistake(s): (Now N/6 pts): (Nil); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL EVEN]

Row 3: C/f (N)/23 pts: No qualiifier - Bets: No Basic Place Only/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N /A
No 123 Combo (C/f K/7 pts)
Bets: No Win Double/EWTreble+MopUps+Xtra    
BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I: Now (B)/50 pts:  Short list/Won (half stake not matched)  - Bets: Capped Basic/No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only I/RSA: Now (N)/33 pts: 1 qualifier - 0PL (incl. 0W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Basic/No Place Double     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.09]

Place Only II: Now (Z)/51 pts: LUPANAR/WON PRIME CONTENDER/2ND,half reduced stake - Bets: Basic (reduced on Prime C.)     BASIC PLAN +13

Cards: C/f (B)/30 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A

Boxes: Now (S)/32 pts: WILD GROUND/LOST - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -5

Naps II: C/f (S)/22 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+No Mop Up     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/Naps: Now (R)/43 pts: MR AVIATOR/2ND FIRST BUDDY/Won- Bets: Basic (Mop Ups only if in short-list)/Total Place Combo on Rows POI&II & POIII/Naps (Now B/10 pts) Place Double,Ts,4F+Xtra/NET GAIN     BASIC PLAN +14

Place Only III/bet4place.com (C/f (F)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f (K)/14 pts):  (Tipster on holiday) - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L 0Nr - Bets: No Basic & No Place multiple-Doubles/trebles/4-Folds     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only III/Hoof: C/f (N)/13 pts: No more ratings till next jumps season - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Zone: (FR - C/f A/10 pts): No tip - Bets: No Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips (re-organised): (1) Hong Kong: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No tip; (2) Ireland: Now (I)/14 pts: 1 tip/WON - Bet: Basic Win today+Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +3

Overall Misc. Processed tips: Australia/TABonline.com: Now F/9 pts: 15 selections - 8PL(incl 3W)7L - Bets: Basic,missed 1 losing bet/2-Leg/3-Leg/7-Leg Place Multiples + Xtra/NET LOSS    [OVERALL -13]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f (Z)/11 pts: No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: Basic Place Only    [OVERALL N/A]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL EVEN]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
...
[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated
) AMD reads strictly "(ZAAA)" but expressed above as "(Z)/41 pts." Very satisfactory.]


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