The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Tue Nov 07 2006
Day219Month08Week1.7 (Phase 06C Day07)

'Damage limitation' partly saves the day
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
Two qualifiers today but have gone with only CONTRABAND/LOST in a main Row. My stats on it are very encouraging for the win, but I take the opposition to it in the RP Selection Box to be significant. Hence, I locate it in "Row 3." [Correct decision]
The other qualifier, PRESENT M'LORD/3RD, is down in "Place Only II." [Ditto]
I am vulnerable today, but not a lot is at stake (aside from an investment on a major Tip if one arrives.)
My Fancies list was longer but I pruned it. If its selections succeed [They did], I shall be well pleased.
OUTCOME:     BASIC PLAN -16 (within OVERALL -20)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
Note: Yesterday I started to express these summaries as "Basic Plan within Overall."
C/F to Nov Week 2.1 Day 220 (Phase C: Day 8)
BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C wef 01/11/06) = -51 @ an average of -c7/day .... within OVERALL (Phase 06C only) = -133* points @ an average (this Phase) of  -c19/day. Gain-days in Phase 06B: Nov: 3 Basic Plan (3 Overall) [*see above for this month's overall gain/loss position]
Note: Break-even days count as Win ones - a new ruling I've introduced - on the basis that 'if I haven't lost, I must have won,' which, about betting on horses, I think is fair enough!
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B: 01/08/06-31/10/06) = +204 points .... within OVERALL (Phase 06B only) = +41 points (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: 14 Basic Plan (Overall 15) [-105]; Sep: 15 (13) [-201];  Oct: 17 (18) [+347])
PLUS B/f BASIC PLAN (Phase 06A: 01/04/06 to 31/7/06) = -366 points ..... within  OVERALL Phase 06A only = -2656 points (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])

Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Supplementary (Sequential) Short-List Combo, Mistakes, Discrepancy [Negligible]     OVERALL -4

Row 3
305 Kemp: CONTRABAND/Lost F/c 4/6 Min value odds, according to my 'odds configuration' stat, + 20% = 1.37 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 3.29 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.83 Capped stake for the multiples
Bets: Ad hoc Capped Mop Up (via share of Xtra Combo return, if any), 123 & Capped Xtra Combos (combined Win bet as there is no other qualifier), Total Combo       BASIC PLAN -10

Place Only I - On Row 3
Bet: Capped Xtra Combo (enhancement of the existing Win single on Contraband as there is no other qualifier)     BASIC PLAN -3

Place Only II
Exet: PRESENT M'LORD/3rd/DOWN THE STRETCH/WON
Kemp: NUDGE AND NURDLE/2ND/RINGAROSES/WON - WHAT DO'IN/LOST
Wolv: STARS ABOVE/LOST
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.49]

Naps I  - No selection

Naps II
Exet: MISS SKIPPY/LOST
Kemp: NOBELIX/WON (Triple stake)
Wolv: SMALL STAKES/WON
Bets: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -3

My Lay bets - None

Tips
1) No Main Win tip today
Tiny Win, the balance - to grand total of ? points - Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]
2) No Major Lay tip today     [OVERALL N/A]
3) TAWQUEET 5/1 taken 0400 Melb(Aust/LOST - this morning
No.5 CURSORA F/c 5/1 Race9Chur(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Tiny win     [OVERALL EVEN (-0.27)]
4) Endorsements (Good words):
(a) None
Bet: Tiny win     [OVERALL N/A]
(b) CONTRABAND/Lost
Bets: Selectively: small Win, small Place Only     [OVERALL ]

Fancies
Exet: MISS SKIPPY/Lost
Kemp: NOBELIX/Won
Sedg: STROOMBANK/Lost
Wolv: SMALL STAKES/Won
Bets: Tiny Multi Fancy (WTrebles)
Exet: PRESENT M'LORD/3rd/DOWN THE STRETCH/Won
Kemp: NUDGE AND NURDLE/2nd/RINGAROSES/Won
Wolv: PANIC STATIONS/WON/TODLEA/LOST
Bets: Tiny Multi Fancy (3X3WTrebles)    OVERALL +3