The Totopoly Kid - Bets for May 01 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for May 01 2008

OUTCOME: -61 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -67]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: STEVIE THUNDER/2ND & NUTKIN/2ND (Row 1). Came out of the Aussie racing overnight with, for a change, a small profit. My stakes for the UK races computed modest in levels, so a good day never looked like being a bonanza one. But Win bets going down on my short-listed & one failure of the Place Onlys, was not compensated for by the successful Place Only results. It was an unlucky day for me - ending with an unseating and, truly, Nutkin was but victim to jockey errors in failing to win.

C/f to May 02 (Month5Week 1.2Day??Phase08BDay65) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -30* pts … which is part of a deficit of -239 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -530 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,124 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-0.47/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 64 days

0 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in May (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Apr, 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: Now (N)/13 pts: Short list/Both 2nd - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place/No Star Win bet (C/f (Q)/33 pts)     BASIC PLAN -23

Row 2: Now (H)/14 ptsNo qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win/Basic Place Only/No Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts) +No MopUp; Capped bet Supplements: (Now (A)/40 pts) No Win bet; Win & Place indicated on the short list/Both placed,ignored; Place bet indicated on FORESIGHT/LOST,ignored; No Misc. Ad Hoc bets (C/f (Y)/11 pts): No Basic Win bet+MopUp; No Randum staked bet; No Basic Place bet; No Basic Ad Hoc ?-Leg All-up Place Multiple+Xtras (C/f I/8 pts); Mistake(s): (Now N/6 pts): Serious error of judgment on the size of FORESIGHT's bet, should have been halved & nearly was (Significant disadvantage); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL EVEN]

Row 3: Now (N)/23 pts: FORESIGHT/Lost RYDAL PARK/WON - Bets: Basic Place Only (Capped on Foresight)/No Basic RS Win bet (C/f (R)/12 pts) + No MopUp     BASIC PLAN -47
123 Combo (Now K/7 pts)
Bets: Win Double/EWTreble+MopUps+Xtra/NET LOSS    
BASIC PLAN -18

Place Only I: Now (C)/50 pts:  Dealt with via Row 1  - Bets: No Basic/No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I/RSA: Now (O)/33 pts: 1 qualifiers - 1PL (incl. 1W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Basic/No Place Double     BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only II: Now (A)/50 pts: STORYLAND/WON - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +4

Cards: Now (B)/30 pts: MAIMOONA/WON HEATHCOTE/UNSEATED OH CHICK/WON ARCTIC MAGIC/LOST,missed/HORA/WON,missed - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.01]

Boxes: C/f (R)/33 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps II: C/f (S)/22 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+No Mop Up     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/Naps: Now (S)/42 pts: BOZ/WON TOPAZES/WON STEVIE THUNDER/2nd NUTKIN/2nd - Bets: Basic (Mop Ups only on short-listed)/Total Place Combo on Rows 1&3, POII & POIII/Naps (Now C/10 pts) Place Double,Ts,7F+Xtra/NET GAIN     BASIC PLAN +14

Place Only III/bet4place.com (C/f (F)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f (K)/14 pts):  (Tipster on holiday) - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L 0Nr - Bets: No Basic & No Place multiple-Doubles/trebles/4-Folds     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only III/Hoof: C/f (N)/13 pts: No ratings - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: No Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A

Zone: (FR - C/f A/10 pts): No tip - Bets: No Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Basic Plan Misc. Processed tips (re-organised): (1) Hong Kong: Now (Y)/11 pts: I tip/3RD; (2) Ireland: Now (J)/14 pts: 1 tip/2ND - Bet: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +7

Overall Misc. Processed tips: Australia/TABonline.com: Now E/9 pts: 6 short-listed - 4PL(incl 2W)2L - Bets: Basic,missed 1 winning bet/2-Leg/3-Leg Place Multiples (Ds/Ts) + Xtra/NET LOSS    [OVERALL +1]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f (Z)/11 pts: No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: Now A/10 pts: 2 Tips/LOST - 0PL (incl. 0W)2L; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: Basic Place Only    [OVERALL -7]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL EVEN]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.

[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated
) AMD reads strictly "(AAA)" but expressed above as "(A)/40 pts." Very satisfactory.]


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