The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Apr 29 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Apr 29 2008

OUTCOME: +1 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -5]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short list. Came out of the Aussie racing overnight with another deficit (small). Was unconfident about some UK bets and took a nap, missing a couple.

C/f to Apr 30 (Month4Wk4.7+2Day??Phase08BDay63) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated surplus +15* pts … which is part of a deficit of -194 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -476 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,070 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. surplus of c+0.24/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 62 days

16 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Apr (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: C/f (N)/13 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Place/No Star Win bet (C/f (Q)/33 pts)     BASIC PLAN N/A

Row 2: Now (G)/14 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic FS Win (C/f (L)/13 pts) +No MopUp; Capped bet Supplements: (Now (A)/40 pts) No Win bet; Win & Place (TopUpSupplements) indicated on DARK MISSILE/2ND,ignored; Place bet indicated on YAKIMOV/WON ,ignored; Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (Y)/11 pts): [No Basic Win bet+MopUp; No Randum staked bet] Basic Place bet on KING DANIEL/LOST; [No Basic Ad Hoc ?-Leg All-up Place Multiple+Xtras (C/f I/8 pts);] Mistake(s): (Now L/7 pts): Quite a serious little slip - backed an Aussie tip that came 3rd in a 2-Places paid race on Centrebet when 3 places were paid on Betfair (-11 stake+the gain I didn't get); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL -3]

Row 3: Now (Q)/23 pts: Infiltrated on General Support: DARK MISSILE/2nd - Bets: No Basic Place Only(see Boxes)/Basic RS Win bet (Now (R)/12 pts) +Token MopUp A departure from my usual policy of 'no win bet' on Infiltrated selections (This bet would still have been placed as an Ad Hoc win bet, though, but thereby accounted under 'Overall')     BASIC PLAN -9

Diminished Total (Win) Combo (Now E/9 pts)Bets:  Basic Place Sequential Double+Token MopUp/LOST     BASIC PLAN -5

Place Only I: C/f (D)/45 pts:  No qualifier  - Bets: No Basic/No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/RSA: Now (Q)/33 pts: 2 qualifiers - 2PL (incl. 2W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Basic    BASIC PLAN +6

Place Only II: C/f (B)/50 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A

Cards: Now (D)/25 pts: SIR MULBERRY HAWK/3RD ART EXHIBITION/WON - 2PL (incl 1W)0L - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +4

Boxes: Now (R)/33 pts: YAKIMOV/Won DARK MISSILE/2nd,effectively missed KANISORN/2ND - Bets: Basic Place Only (Token on Dark Missile)     BASIC PLAN +5

Naps II: Now (S)/22 pts: NAUGHTY THOUGHTS/LOST - Bets (Double stakes): Basic Win+No Mop Up     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only III/Naps: Now (T)/42 pts:  AIR CHIEF/LOST.missed bet NAUGHTY THOUGHTS/Lost,missed bet, DARK MISSILE/2nd - Bets: Token MopUp only on Dark Missile, Basic/Neither Total, nor Diminished, Place Combos (Now E/9 pts) (No Win Double,EWTs,EW4F,+ No MopUps+No Xtra/Deemed a loss    BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0/09]

Place Only III/bet4place.com (C/f (F)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f (K)/14 pts):  (Tipster on holiday) - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L 0Nr - Bets: No Basic & No Place multiple-Doubles/trebles/4-Folds     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only III/Hoof: C/f (N)/13 pts: No ratings - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: No Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A

Zone: (FR - C/f A/10 pts): Not checked - Bets: No Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Misc. Processed tips (TABonline.com): Now E/9 pts: 6 tips short-listed - 5PL(incl 4W)1L - Bets: Basic,missed 1 winning bet (see Mistakes)/2-Leg Place Multiple (Ds) + No Xtras/NET GAIN     [OVERALL -3]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f (Z)/11 pts: No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: Now (Z)/11 pts: 1 Tip - 0PL (incl. 0W)1L; Irish (C/f (L)/13 pts): No Tip; Hong Kong: C/f A/10 pts: No Tip; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: Basic Place Only    [OVERALL -1]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL EVEN]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(AAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (A)/40 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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