The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Apr 18 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Apr 18 2008

OUTCOME: -79 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -82]

PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: KERRY LADS/2ND/GEEVEEM/LOST & ELUSIVE DREAM/WON (Place Only II).

C/f to Apr 19 (Month4Wk3.5Day??Phase08BDay52) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -173* pts … which is part of a deficit of -378 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -571 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17155 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-3/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 51 days

7 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Apr (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: C/f (Q)/12 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Win+MopUp/No Star Win bet (C/f (S)/32 pts)     BASIC PLAN N/A

Row 2: Now (K)/14 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No FS (C/f (L)/13 pts) No Win+MopUp; Capped bets Supplements: (Now (F)/35 pts): No Win bet; No Win & Place category; Capped Place bet Supplement indicated on (RSA) PICCADILLY LILLY/LOST (UK) CENTEROLA/LOST KERRY LADS/2ND ELUSIVE DREAM/WON,all ignored; Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (W)/11 pts): No Basic Win bet+MopUp; No Randum staked bet; No Basic Place bet; Basic Ad Hoc 7-Leg All-up Place Multiple+Xtras (Now J/7 pts) on the Aussie tips/NET LOSS; Mistakes: (Now E/9 pts): Messed up on a couple (Negligible); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL -6]

Row 3: Now (Q)/23 pts:  HERECOMESTHETRUTH/3RD - Bets: Basic Place Only/No RS (C.f (Q)/13 pts) No Win+No MopUp/No Total Place Combo (C/f E/9 pts)     BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only I: C/f (I)/44 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic + No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/RSA: Now (S)/32 pts: PICCADILLY LILLY/Lost - 0PL (incl. 0W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Capped Basic Win+No MopUp (I used readily available funds in an account that doesn't offer Place bets on RSA races)    BASIC PLAN -33

Place Only II: Now (F)/45 pts: The short-list - Bets: Reduced Capped Basic     BASIC PLAN -4

Cards: Now (A)/30 pts: CENTEROLA/LOST WARSAW PACT/WON BLUE SPINNAKER/WON - Bets: Basic Place Only (Capped on Centerola)+Diminished Total Place Combo+ (in error) MopUps (Now F/9 pts) on 7 with Boxes,POIII/Naps & Elusive Dream/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN -30

Boxes: Now (T)/32 pts: REBEL DUKE/LOST - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -9

Naps II: Now (S)/22 pts: MIA'S BOY/WON - Bets: Basic Win+Mop Up     BASIC PLAN +2

Place Only III/Naps: Now (A)/40 pts: MIA'S BOY/WON - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.37]

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (G)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (Now (M)/13 pts):  8 tips - 1Pl (incl 1W)6L 1Nr - Bets: Basic & Place multiple-Doubles/trebles/4-Folds/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN -6

Zone: (Now C/10 pts - RSA) Tip/LOST; (Now (Z)/11 pts - FR): Tip/3RD - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL +1]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f B/10 pts: No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No Tip - 0PL (incl. 0W); Irish (Now (R)/12 pts): Tip/3RD; Hong Kong: C/f A/10 pts: No Tip; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: No Basic Place Only    [OVERALL +1]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
...
[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated
) AMD reads strictly "(FAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (F)/35 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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