The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Apr 15 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Apr 15 2008

OUTCOME: +3 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +3]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: EXMOOR RANGER/NO RUN (Place Only II).

C/f to Apr 16 (Month4Wk3.2Day??Phase08BDay49) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -110* pts … which is part of a deficit of -315 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -512 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,096 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-2/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 48 days

6 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Apr (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 2: Now (L)/13 pts (reset recently): No qualifier - Bets: No FS (C/f (L)/13 pts) No Win+MopUp; Capped bet Place Supplement (Now (E)/35 pts) indicated on (RSA) IRISH COFFEE/2ND, but ignored; No Misc. Ad Hoc bets (C/f (W)/11 pts): No Basic Win bet+MopUp; No Randum staked bet; No Basic Place bet; No Basic Diminished Ad Hoc 7-Leg All-up Place Multiples+Xtras (C/f I/8 pts) on the Aussie tips; Mistakes: (Now D/9 pts): Replacing Exmoor Ranger/No run in my Multiple with DIGITAL/LOST counts, I think (Not in my favour); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL EVEN]

Row 3: C/f  (R)/23 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place Only/No RS (C/f (P)/13 pts): No Win+MopUp    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I: C/f (I)/44 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic + No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/RSA: Now (S)/32 pts: 2 qualifiers - 1PL (incl. 0W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Capped/Reduced Basic+Sequential Place Double/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN  -9

Place Only II: C/f (E)/45 pts: Non runner - Bets: No Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Cards: Now (A)/30 pts: BOLD CHOICE/WON - Bets: Reduced Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +6

Boxes: C/f (V)/32 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps II: C/f (T)/22 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+No Mop Up     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/Naps: Now (E)/35 pts: JASER/WON GLORIOUS GIFT/WON, added DIGITAL/Lost - Bets: Basic+Total Place Combo (Now F/9 pts) on 4 with Cards (Place Doubles/trebles/4-Fold +No Win MopUps or *Xtras/NET LOSS) *There should have been an Xtra which would have returned a gain     BASIC PLAN -2

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (F)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (C/f (N)/13 pts):  4 tips - 2Pl (incl 2W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Basic + 4-Leg Place Doubles/trebles/4-Fold/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN +7

Zone: Now A/10 pts: (RSA) Tip/LOST; (FR): No Tip - Bets: Basic EW     [OVERALL EVEN (-0.28)]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f B/10 pts: No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No Tip - 0PL (incl. 0W); Irish: C/f (R)/12 pts: No Tip; Hong Kong: C/f A/10 pts: No Tip; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: No Basic Place Only    [OVERALL EVEN]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
...[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(EAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (E)/35 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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