The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Apr 13 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Apr 13 2008

OUTCOME: +63 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +61]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): SUNDAY MODE partially applied. Short list: CAPTAIN WEBB/WON (Row 2), GUNNADOIT/WON (Row 3), CASH MAN, NATIAIN & WOOLCOMBE FOLLY/ALL WON (Place Only II).

For cash-flow reasons I have to go easy as regards major bets on my qualifiers. But I was able to relax on this caution by degrees through the afternoon, progressively, by virtue of successive results that went my way. Still frustrating, though, as I should have had an even more solid gain to record as today's outcome!

C/f to Apr 14 (Month4Wk2.7Day??Phase08BDay47) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -132* pts … which is part of a deficit of -337 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -534 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,118 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-3/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 46 days

4 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Apr (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 2: Now (K)/14 pts (reset recently): CAPTAIN WEBB/Won - Bets: FS (Now (L)/13 pts) Win+MopUp; Capped bet Place Supplements (Now (E)/35 pts) indicated on 5/4xWON, 1x2nd,  but all ignored; Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (W)/11 pts): No Basic Win bet+MopUp; No Randum staked bet; No Basic Place bet; Basic Diminished Ad Hoc 7-Leg All-up Place Multiples+Xtras (Now I/8 pts) on the Aussie tips/NET LOSS; Mistakes: (Now D/9 pts): I was too late with my intended Place bet on Lethe Lion Roar/Won (Small significance); Also: Fees (-1) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN +10 [plus OVERALL -3]

Row 3: Now (T)/22 pts: GUNNADOIT/Won & (added) (RSA) LETHE LION ROAR/WON - Bets: RS Win+MopUp    BASIC PLAN -6

Place Only I: C/f (I)/44 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic + No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/RSA: Now (Q)/33 pts: 3 qualifiers - 2PL (incl. 1W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Capped Basic, on just 1 qualifier/Missed bet+Place Double (too late for Treble)/LOST    BASIC PLAN -2

Place Only II: Now (E)/45 pts: Short-list/Won - Bets: Reduced Basic, & Diminished Total Place Combo (Now E/9 pts) on 5 (Doubles/Trebles,5-Fold+No Xtras/WON)     BASIC PLAN +25

Cards: Now (B)/30 pts: O'MALEY/WON/LEADING AUTHORITY/2ND - Bets: Capped Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +12

Boxes: C/f (V)/32 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps II: C/f (T)/22 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+No Mop Up     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/Naps: Now (E)/35 pts: THE GALLOPING SHOE/WON - Bets: Reduced Basic     BASIC PLAN +10

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (H)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (Now (N)/13 pts):  8 tips - 4Pl (incl 2W)4L 0Nr - Bets: Basic + Place Only Accums/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN +2

Zone: Now A/10 pts: (RSA) Tip/LOST; (FR): Tip/LOST - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL -1]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f B/10 pts: No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: Now (Z)/11 pts: Tip/WON - 1PL (incl. 1W); Irish: Now (Q)/12 pts: Tip/2ND; Hong Kong: C/f A/10 pts: No Tip; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: Basic Place Only    [OVERALL +1]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (corrected) AMD reads strictly "(EAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (E)/35 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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