The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Apr 12 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Apr 12 2008

OUTCOME: -1 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +3]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: FLYING FALCON/WON (Place Only II).

Despite the overnight Aussie result being favourable, my cash-flow remained in a danger zone, so I took another day off as regards major Place bets on my UK qualifiers. (Frustrating, again, as I would have had a decent enough surplus to record for the day!)

C/f to Apr 13 (Month4Wk2.6Day??Phase08BDay46) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -195* pts … which is part of a deficit of -400 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -595 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,181 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-4/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 45 days

3 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Apr (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 2: C/f (L)/13 pts (reset recently): No qualifier - Bets: No Place Only bet & No FS Win (C/f (M)/13 pts)+No MopUp; Capped bet Place Supplements (Now (F)/35 pts) indicated on (Aust) ZARITA/WON & SURFSIDE CHRISTMAS/LOST, (RSA) SEVENTH ROCK/WON & MOULIN GRISE/LOST.all ignored; Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (V)/11 pts): No Basic Win bet+MopUp; No Randum staked bet; Basic Place bet on TOP TICKET/2ND; Basic Diminished Ad Hoc 7-Leg All-up Place Multiples+Xtras (Now H/8 pts) on the Aussie tips/NET LOSS; Mistakes: (Now C/10 pts): A couple of errors (Cancelled each other out); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL +2]

Row 3: Now (T)/22 pts: No qualifier; Total Place Combo (Now F/9 pts) on 3 (Rows POII & POIII/Naps - Doubles/Treble+Xtras/LOST) Missed 1st Leg winning bet     BASIC PLAN -6

Place Only I: C/f (I)/44 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic + No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/RSA: Now (R)/33 pts: 5 qualifiers - 3PL (incl. 3W)2L 0Nr - Bets: Reduced Basic on only 1 qualifier+ Place Accumulator/LOST    BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.13]

Place Only II: Now (F)/45 pts: Short-list/Won,missed - Bets: No Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Cards: Now (C)/30 pts: PRESS GANG/3RD,rejected SAINTSAIRE/LOST,rejected TOP TICKET/2nd,rejected - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Boxes: Now (V)/32 pts: DON'T PANIC/2ND,rejected PLANET OF SOUND/WON,rejected - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps II: Now (T)/22 pts: SUB PRIME/LOST - Bets: Basic Win+No Mop Up possible     BASIC PLAN -4

Place Only III/Naps: Now (F)/35 pts: TASDEER/WON IRISH QUEST/BOMBED - Bets: Reduced Basic     BASIC PLAN -2

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (G)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (Now (O)/13 pts):  8 tips - 4Pl (incl 1W)4L 0Nr - Bets: Basic + Place Only Accums/NET GAIN     BASIC PLAN +10

Zone (RSA): Now (Z)/11 pts: Tip/WON,missed - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f B/10 pts: No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: C/f A/10 pts: No tips - 0PL (incl. 0W); Irish: Now (R)/12 pts: Tip/2ND,no bet; Hong Kong: Now A/10 pts: Tip/WON OR PLACED; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: Basic Place Only    [OVERALL +2]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ...
[To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(FAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (F)/35 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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