The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Apr 11 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Apr 11 2008

OUTCOME: +8 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +17]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: ROYALIST/WON & SPIN AGAIN/WON (Place Only II).

Despite the overnight Aussie result being favourable, my cash-flow remained in a danger zone, so I took the day off as regards major Place bets on my UK qualifiers. (Frustrating, as I would have had a decently greater surplus to record for the day!)

C/f to Apr 12 (Month4Wk2.5Day??Phase08BDay44) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -194* pts … which is part of a deficit of -399 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -598 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,184 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-4/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 45 days

3 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Apr (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won."), 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 2: C/f (L)/13 pts (reset recently): No qualifier - Bets: No Place Only bet & No FS Win (C/f (M)/13 pts)+No Token MopUp; Capped bet Place Supplement (Now (E)/35 pts) indicated on (Aust) FOUR AMOGOS/2ND, (RSA) SPEED FOR GOLD/WON & (UK) ROYALIST/Won SPIN AGAIN/Won  but all ignored; Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (W)/11 pts): No Basic Win bet+MopUp; No Randum staked bet; No Basic Place bet; Basic Diminished Ad Hoc 7-Leg All-up Place Multiple+Xtras (Now G/8 pts) on the Aussie tips/NET GAIN; Mistakes: (C/f B/10 pts): (Nil); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL +9]

Row 3: Now (S)/22 pts: No qualifier; Select Total Place Combo (Now E/9 pts) on 4 (Rows POII & Boxes - except AMYLEE/2ND,rejected) 4-Fold Place Accum/Doubles/Trebles+No Xtra/WON)     BASIC PLAN +3

Place Only I: C/f (I)/44 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic + No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/RSA: Now (S)/32 pts: 3 qualifiers - 2PL (incl. 2W)0L 1Nr - Bets: Reduced Basic + Place Doubles/Treble/WON    BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only II: Now (G)/45 pts: Short-list/Both won - Bets: Token Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.07]

Boxes: Now (W)/32 pts: STEVIE THUNDER/WON NAWAMEES/WON AMYLEE/2nd,rejected - Bets: Token Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.34]

Cards: C/f (B)/30 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps II: C/f (S)/22 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+No Mop Up     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (H)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (Now (N)/13 pts):  8 tips - 6Pl (incl 3W)2L 0Nr - Bets: Basic + Place Only Accums/NET GAIN     BASIC PLAN +3

Zone (RSA): Now (Z)/11 pts: Tip/LOST,rejected - Bets: No Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f B/10 pts: No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: C/f A/10 pts: No tips - 0PL (incl. 0W); Irish: Now (S)/12 pts: Tip/3RD; Hong Kong: C/f B/10 pts: No tip; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: Basic Place Only    [OVERALL EVEN (+0.45)]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(EAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (E)/35 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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