The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Apr 10 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Apr 10 2008

OUTCOME: -17 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -20]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: THEATRE GIRL/WON (Row 2).

As the overnight Aussie result was again poor, & my cash-flow is in a danger zone, I took the day off as regards Place bets on my UK qualifiers. (Frustratingly, & by no means for the first time, I would have had a surplus to record instead if I had gone with my indicated bets!)

I'd fully expected to have done much better than I have to date this year, of course - but the situation is very far from irredeemable. My expectation, now, is that it will be redeemed, with interest!!

C/f to Apr 11 (Month4Wk2.4Day??Phase08BDay43) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -202* pts … which is part of a deficit of -407 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -615 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,201 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-5/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 42 days

2 x Win day so far on Basic Plan in Apr (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE 

Row 2: Now (L)/13 pts (reset recently): THEATRE GIRL/Won - Bets: No Place Only bet & FS Win (Now (M)/13 pts)+No Token MopUp; Capped bet Place Supplement (Now (F)/35 pts) indicated on (Aust) GEYSER PEAK/WON & (UK) BALLYVOGE/WON COUNCILLOR JACK/NO RUN but all ignored; Misc. Ad Hoc bets (Now (X)/11 pts): Basic Win bet+MopUp on GEYSER PEAK/Won; No Randum staked bet;  Token Basic Place bet on (RSA) JUANFRA/2ND, Basic (Diminished) Ad Hoc 3-Legs of All-up Multiple Place Accums+Xtras (Now H/8 pts) on the Aussie tips/NET LOSS; Mistakes: (Now B/10 pts) Missed winning Hong Kong bet yesterday; slight overbet today on THEATRE GIRL/Won To Win: (Not quantified); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN +2 [plus OVERALL EVEN (-0.27)]

Row 3: Now (T)/22 pts: No qualifier; Total Place Combo (Now F/9 pts) on 4 (Rows 2,POI & - except non-runner - POII plus Cards: 4-Fold Place Accum/Doubles/Trebles+No Xtra/WON)     BASIC PLAN + 4

Place Only I: Now (I)/44 pts: THEATRE GIRL/Won - Bets: Token Basic + No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.25]

Place Only I/RSA: C/f (T)/32 pts: No qualifier - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L 0Nr - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only II: Now (H)/45 pts: TAMPA BOY/2ND BALLYVOGE/Won,no bet COUNCILLOR JACK/No run - Bets: Token Basic     BASIC PLAN +1

Boxes: Now (X)/32 pts: REALISM/LOST,no bet - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Cards: Now (B)/30 pts: ASK THE GATHERER/WON,no bet - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps II: Now (S)/22 pts: TEASING/LOST - Bets: Basic Win+No Mop Up     BASIC PLAN -7

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (I)/24 pts) and bet4value.com (Now (O)/13 pts):  8 tips - 2Pl (incl 2W)5L 1Nr - Bets: Basic + Place Only Accums/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN -17

Zone (RSA): Now (Y)/11 pts: Tip/2nd,rejected - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN]

Misc Tips: Free Pricewise: C/f B/10 pts: No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; French: C/f A/10 pts: No tips - 0PL (incl. 0W); Irish: Now (T)/12 pts: Tip/LOST; Hong Kong: Now B/10 pts: Tip (yesterday)/WON,missed; UAR: C/f A/10 pts: No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: EW today    [OVERALL -3]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(FAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (F)/35 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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