The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Apr 08 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Apr 08 2008

OUTCOME: +86 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +88]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: BEFOURTYFOUR/WON (Row 1) & WEE FORBES/WON (Place Only I). Having backed more runners than usual to win yesterday, I chose only Befourtyfour to do that today. As the Aussie result was good today, I did only a Place Multiple on my main qualifiers, no major place Single. No regrets.

C/f to Apr 09 (Month4Wk2.2Day??Phase08BDay40) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -156* pts … which is part of a deficit of -361 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -561 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,147 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-4/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 40 days

2 x Win day so far on Basic Plan in Apr (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: Now (N)/13 pts: BEFOURTYFOUR/Won - Bets: No Basic Place Only; Star (Now (R)/32 pts) Capped Basic Win+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN +10

Row 2: C/f (M)/13 pts (reset recently): No qualifier - Bets: No Place Only bet & No FS Win (C/f (N)/13 pts); Capped bet Win & Place Supplements (Now (G)/35 pts) indicated on (UK) BEFOURTYFOUR/Won but ignored; Ad Hoc bets (Now (V)/11 pts): No Randum, nor Basic, Place bets, Basic (Diminished) Ad Hoc All-up Place Accums+Xtras (Now F/9 pts) on the Aussie tips/NET GAIN; Mistakes: (Now C/10 pts): Accidental Win bet instead of to Place/WON [Not quantified] (Insignificant advantage); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL +1]

Row 3: C/f (U)/22 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Place Only plus No RS (C/f (P)/13 pts) Win bet; No Infiltration on Support - Bets: No Win+ Place + No additional RS Win+No MopUp; No Infiltration on General Support - Bets: No Basic Place bet; No 123 Combo (C/f K/7 pts); No Diminished Total Combo (C/f F/9 pts); Capped Total Place Combo (Now I/8 pts) on 6 (Rows 1,POI&II, POIII/Naps & Cards: Place Accum/Doubles/Trebles+Xtra/NET LOSS) Close but no cigar     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only I: Now (J)/44 pts: Short-list - Bets: No Basic + No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I/RSA: Now (S)/32 pts: 2 qualifiers - 1PL (incl. 1W)0L 1Nr - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -2

Place Only I/bet4place.com: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only II: Now (I)/45 pts: ARABESQUE DANCER/LOST,no bet - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Boxes: Now (W)/32 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Cards: Now (C)/30 pts: WALRAGNEK/2ND,no bet - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/Naps: Now (E)/35 pts: WODHILL SCHNAPS/WON,no bet RIGUEZ DANCER/3RD,no bet- Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/HOOF.com: C/f (O)/13 pts: Ratings discontinued now the Jumps season is ending - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps I: C/f (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+MopUp     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps I/Win/bet4place.com: C/f A/10 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps II: C/f (R)/23 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+Mop Up     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (G)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (Now (M)/13 pts):  8 tips - 4Pl (incl 1W)4L 0Nr - Bets: Basic + Place Only Accums/NET GAIN     BASIC PLAN +75

Zone (RSA): Now (X)/11 pts: Tip/2ND,rejected - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN]

Misc Tips: (Free Pricewise: C/f B/10 pts) No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; (French: C/f A/10 pts) No tips - 0PL (incl. 0W); (Irish: Now (S)/12 pts) Tip/WON; (Hong Kong: C/f C/10 pts) No Tip; (UAR: C/f A/10 pts) No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: Win bet today    [OVERALL +1]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(GAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (G)/35 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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