The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Apr 07 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Apr 07 2008

OUTCOME: -97 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -104]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: SIR HARRY ORMESHER/LOST. With some misgivings I got tempted into backing more runners than usual to win. But I exercised some caution; so the damage caused was rather less, fortunately, than it might have been.

C/f to Apr 08 (Month4Wk2.1Day??Phase08BDay39) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -242* pts … which is part of a deficit of -447 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -649 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,235 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of c-6/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 39 days

1 x Win day so far on Basic Plan in Apr (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") 17 in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: C/f (O)/13 pts: See short-list - Bets: No Basic ; Star (Now (S)/32 pts) Basic Win/LOST (No MopUp possible)     BASIC PLAN -37

Row 2: C/f (M)/13 pts (reset recently): No qualifier - Bets: No Place Only bet & No FS Win (C/f (N)/13 pts); Capped bet Place Supplements (Now (H)/35 pts) indicated on (Aust) CONCERT GIRL/BOMBED and  (UK) BRIDGE OF FARMEY/LOST NATIAIN/WON but ignored; Ad Hoc bets (Now (W)/11 pts): No randum staked bet; a Basic Place bet on RAYSROCK/WON remained un-matched, Basic (Diminished) Ad Hoc All-up Place Accums+Xtras (Now G/8 pts) on the Aussie tips/NET LOSS; Mistakes: (C/f  D/9 pts): Accidental match on ST JEAN CAP FERRET/3RD bet to Win [-2] but I also made a serious error of judgement just before the end of racing which left inbacked a worthy qualifier, NATIAIN/WON (Significant disadvantage); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL -6]

Row 3: Now (U)/22 pts: SALUT SAINT CLOUD/2ND - Bets: Basic Place Only plus RS (Now (P)/13 pts) Win bet/LOST; No Infiltration on Support - Bets: No Win+ Place + No additional RS Win+No MopUp; No Infiltration on General Support - Bets: No Basic Place bet; 123 Combo (Now K/7 pts) as a Capped Sequential Win Double/LOST + (overlooked) MopUps on Rows 1 & 3; No Diminished Total Combo (C/f F/9 pts); Capped Total Place Combo (Now G/8 pts) on 8 (Rows 1 & 3, Naps I & II, POII & Boxes: Place Accum/Doubles/Trebles+Xtra/NET LOSS)     BASIC PLAN -17

Place Only I: C/f (K)/44 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic + No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (U)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/RSA: Now (T)/32 pts: 2 qualifiers - 1PL (incl. 0W)1L - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -13

Place Only I/bet4place.com: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only II: Now (H)/45 pts: DUSTY SPRINGHEELED/LOST - Bets: Reduced Basic     BASIC PLAN -19

Boxes: Now (W)/32 pts: NATIAIN/Won,not backed - Bets: Capped Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Cards: Now (D)/25 pts: NOBLE FUTURE/3RD - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +3

Place Only III/Naps: Now (F)/35 pts: MY SHADOW/WON - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +2

Place Only III/HOOF.com: C/f (O)/13 pts: No ratings available - 0PL (incl. 0W)0L - Bets: No Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps I: Now (X)/11 pts: BRIDGE OF FERMEY/LOST THE WHISPERER/2ND - Bets: Basic Win (Capped on Bridge of F)+MopUp (not avail. on Bridge of F.)     BASIC PLAN -24

Naps I/Win/bet4place.com: C/f A/10 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps II: Now (R)/23 pts: ST JEAN CAP FERRAT/3RD MY SHADOW/Won - Bets: On My Shadow Basic Win+Mop Up/On St. Jean Cap F. Win  & Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +12

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (H)/25 pts) and bet4value.com (Now (L)/13 pts):  8 tips - 4Pl (incl 1W)4L 0Nr - Bets: Basic + Place Only Accums/NET GAIN     BASIC PLAN -5

Zone (RSA): C/f (Y)/11 pts: No Tip - Bets: No Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Misc Tips: (Free Pricewise: C/f B/10 pts) No Tips - 0PL(incl 0W)0L; (French: C/f A/10 pts) No tips - 0PL (incl. 0W); (Irish: C/f (T)/12 pts) No Tip; (Hong Kong: C/f C/10 pts) No Tip; (UAR: C/f A/10 pts) No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: 2 tips noted but not yet backed - Bets: None so far     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(HAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (H)/35 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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