The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Mar 31 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Mar 31 2008

OUTCOME: +44 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +40]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list: MIRODIMA/WON & PERCOLATOR/WON (Row 3). Results in Australia have been quite steady so far this year overall, without making the pulse race too often (except on January 1st, notably!). Last night broke even, but again caused me, alas, to over-sleep and miss a couple of early winning UK bets.

I have now caught up on February's outcomes

Summary Day 359 (wef 01/04/07 Month12Wk4.7+3Day359) which brings an end to Apr to Mar accounting. Now I account Jan-Dec.

BASIC PLAN surplus +112 by 31/03/08 (since 01/01/06) This has to be regarded as breaking even on the face of the Basic Plan record. Overall, however, the position is vastly different.

C/f to Apr 01 (Month4Wk1.1Day??Phase08BDay31) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated deficit -65* pts … which is part of a deficit of -270 pts implicit within 2008's OVERALL deficit so far of -446 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Current Target break-even figure Overall = c.-17,037 pts.

Since 01.03.08 Ave. deficit of -2/day* Phase 08B/Basic Plan over 30 days

17xWin days (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan in Mar, 14 in Feb14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: C/f (P)/13 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Win+No MopUp; No Star Win (C/f (R)/32 pts) + No MopUp      BASIC PLAN N/A

Row 2: C/f ?/?pts: No qualifier; No FS Win (C/f (N)/13 pts) +No MopUp; No Capped Place Supplement (Now (H)/35 pts) though a Win one indicated on MIRODIMA/Won (ignored); No Basic Ad Hoc Win+No MopUp (Now (R)/12 pts); No Random Ad Hoc Win & Place;  but Ad Hoc Place Accums/NET LOSS on the Aussie tips; Mistakes: (Now C/10 pts): Missed winning bets, placed a Win bet, instead of To Place, on AZABU JUBAN/2ND, and didn't do a Total Combo (Significant disadvantage); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL -3]

Row 3: Now (U)/22 pts: MIRODIMA/Won PERCOLATOR/Won - Bets: Win (Reduced on Mirodima) + Place (on Percolator) + No RS (C/f (S)/12 pts) Win+No MopUp; None Infiltrated on Support - Bets: No Win+MopUp; No 123 Combo (C/f J/7 pts); No Total Place Combo (C/f E/9 pts)     BASIC PLAN +59

Place Only I: C/f (M)/44 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic +No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (V)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/bet4place.com: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only II: Now (I)/44 pts: COPPERBOTTOMED/Won - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +10

Boxes: Now (Y)/31 pts: DIVERS/LOST - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -26

Cards: Now (D)/25 pts: AZABU JUBAN/2ND - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only III/Naps: C/f (G)/35 pts: No selection - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps I: C/f (W)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: No Win+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps I/Win/bet4place.com: C/f A/10 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps II: C/f (U)/22 pts: No selection - Bets: Basic Win+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only III/bet4place.com (Now (K)/24 pts) and bet4value.com (Now (M)/13 pts):  8 tips - 3Pl (incl 2W)3L 2Nr - Bets: Basic + Place Only Accums/NET LOSS     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.21]

Zone (FR): Now C/10 pts: Tip/LOST (Place Only not usually available for this race via my current A/cs) - Bets: No bet     [OVERALL EVEN]

Misc Tips: (Free Pricewise: C/f (W)/11 pts) No Tip; (French: C/f C/10 pts) No tip; (Irish: C/f (W)/11 pts) No Tip; (Hong Kong: C/f A/10 pts) No Tips; (UAR: C/f A/10 pts) No Tips - 0Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: No Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

Processed tips (Long Shots)/bet4value.com: Now merged into Place Only III/bet4place.com

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: No tip - Bets: None     [OVERALL N/A]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(HAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (H)/35 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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