Bets for Mar 29 2008
OUTCOME: -47 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -45]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list: DOUBLY GUEST/WON (Row 1). It's fair to say that results in Australia have been worthy this year so far, overall, without making the pulse race overmuch. Last night was another disappointing one for me there. But I keep faith with that source, sure it will bounce back into its more customary strong form soon.
I have now caught up on February's outcomes but have yet to update the figures here: Summary Day 307 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Feb 06 (Month11Wk1.6Day308Phase08AtDay36) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated [March] deficit -150, Phase 08At (01/Jan/08 to 29/Feb/08) as yet un-updated deficit = -261 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +194 since 01/Jan/06), of which a deficit of -261* is implicit within all of 2008's OVERALL deficit of -327 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Target break-even figure = OVERALL deficit of circa. -16921 pts. Ave. deficit of -c7/day* for Basic Plan over 35 days since 01/01/08; 16 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Mar, 2+?xWin days (including any no-bet days - e.g., Feb 1st & Mar 6th - because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE
Row 1: Now (P)/13 pts: Short list - Bets: Basic Win+No MopUp; No Star Win (C/f (R)/32 pts) + No MopUp BASIC PLAN +10
Row 2: C/f ?/?pts: No qualifier; No FS Win (C/f (N)/13 pts) +No MopUp; Capped Place Supplement (Now (J)/34 pts) indicated on CRESCENT ISLAND/2ND ISN'T THAT LUCKY/WON plus a Win one on DOUBLY GUEST/Won, all ignored; Basic Ad Hoc Win+No MopUp (Now (Q)/12 pts) on (Zone-RSA) WINTER PROMISE/2ND & (UK) BRAVE HAWK/2ND; Random Win & Place on WILLIAM BONNEY/LOST and Basic Win+MopUp on ONE NIGHT IN PARIS/WON; and 7F Place Accum/LOST on the Aussie tips; Mistakes: Now B/10 pts: (Negligible disadvantage); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked) BASIC PLAN N/A [plus OVERALL -3]
Row 3: Now (W)/22 pts: BRAVE PROSPECTOR/LOST CEREMONIAL JADE/2ND CRESCENT ISLAND/2nd ONE NIGHT IN PARIS/Won - Bets: Place Place Only (Token on Crescent Is) + No RS (C/f (S)/12 pts) Win+No MopUp; None Infiltrated on Support - Bets: No Win+MopUp; No 123 Combo (C/f J/7 pts); Total Place Combo (Now G/8 pts) on Rows 1&3 + DELIGHTFULLY/LOST(Cards) & ISN'T THAT LUCKY/Won (Boxes) (Place Doubles/Place Trebles and Place 7Fold/NET LOSS) BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only I: C/f (N)/43 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic +No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (V)/42 pts) BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/bet4place.com: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only II: C/f (K)/44 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Boxes: Now (Y)/31 pts: ISN'T THAT LUCKY/Won BRAVE HAWK/2ND,no bet - Bets: Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +1
Cards: Now (E)/25 pts: DELIGHTFULLY/Lost - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -9
Place Only III/Naps: Now (H)/35 pts: SOAPY DANGER/WON - Bets: Reduced Basic BASIC PLAN +4
Naps I: C/f (W)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: No Win+No MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I/Win/bet4place.com: C/f A/10 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic+No MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: C/f (U)/22 pts: No selection - Bets: Basic Win+No MopUp BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/bet4place.com: Now (M)/24 pts: 4 tips - 2Pl (incl 1W)2L - Bets: Basic + Place Only 3FAccums/LOST BASIC PLAN -20
Zone (RSA): Now C/10 pts: Tip/2nd,no bet (Place Only not usually available for this race via my current A/cs) - Bets: No bet [OVERALL EVEN]