The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Mar 27 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Mar 27 2008

OUTCOME: -83 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -85]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list: COMPANERO/WON (Place Only II/Naps II). Poor result on main Aussie accumulator bets overnight (recently reintroduced) not counter-balanced by mixed UK racing results, unfortunately.

I have now caught up on February's outcomes but have yet to update the figures here: Summary Day 307 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Feb 06 (Month11Wk1.6Day308Phase08AtDay36) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated [March] deficit -126, Phase 08At (01/Jan/08 to 29/Feb/08) as yet un-updated deficit = -261 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +194 since 01/Jan/06), of which a deficit of -261* is implicit within all of 2008's OVERALL deficit of -327 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Target break-even figure = OVERALL deficit of circa. -16921 pts. Ave. deficit of -c7/day* for Basic Plan over 35 days since 01/01/08; 15 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Mar, 2+?xWin days (including any no-bet days - e.g., Feb 1st & Mar 6th - because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: C/f (Q)/12 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Star Win (C/f (R)/32 pts) + MopUp      BASIC PLAN N/A

Row 2: C/f ?/?pts: No qualifier; No FS Win (C/f (N)/13 pts) +No MopUp; Capped Place Supplement (Now (L)/34 pts) indicated on COMPANERO/Won but missed; No Ad Hoc Win+MopUp (C/f (O)/13 pts); Mistakes: Now A/10 pts: Couple of small errors on the accums. (-2); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL -2]

Row 3: Now (X)/21 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Place bet + No RS (C/f (S)/12 pts) Win+No MopUp; Infiltrated by General Support: DOUBLE THE TROUBLE/3RD - Bets: Win (exceptionally)+MopUp; No 123 Combo (C/f J/7 pts); missed 1st leg of Total Place (Sequential) Combo (Now D/9 pts) on Rows 3, NapsII & Place Only III/Naps + Xtras/WON     BASIC PLAN +3

Place Only I: C/f (N)/43 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic +No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (V)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/bet4place.com: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only II: Now (K)/44 pts: COMPANERO/WON,no bet DOUBLE THE TROUBLE/3rd - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +6

Boxes: C/f (Z)/31 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Cards: Now (D)/25 pts: PUR DE SIVOLA/LOST,no bet/OCEANOS DES OBEAUX/2ND,no bet INNOCENT REBEL/EASED,LAME POSSIBLY - Bets: Basic Place Only (Reduced on Innocent Rebel)     BASIC PLAN -14

Place Only III/Naps: Now (H)/35 pts: DANCING ABBIE/WON- Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +1

Naps I: C/f (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps I/Win/bet4place.com: C/f A/10 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps II: Now (U)/22 pts: COMPANERO/Won - Bets (Treble stakes): Reduced Basic Win+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN +4

Place Only III/bet4place.com: Now (M)/24 pts:  4 tips - 2Pl (incl 0W)2L - Bets: Basic + Place Only  3FAccum+Sequential Xtra/LOST     BASIC PLAN -55

Zone (RSA): Now E/9 pts: Tip/LOST,no bet (Place Only not usually available for this race via my current A/cs) - Bets: No bet     [OVERALL EVEN]

Misc Tips: (Free Pricewise: C/f (W)/11 pts) No tips; (French racing: C/f (Z)/11 pts) No Tip; (Irish racing: Now (X)/11 pts) Tip LOST; (Hong Kong: C/f B/10 pts) No Tips - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN (-0.38)]

Processed tips (Long Shots)/bet4value.com: Now (L)/13 pts: 4 tips - 3Pl (incl. 2W)1L - Bets: Basic Place Only & Place 3F Accum+Xtras/NET GAIN    BASIC PLAN +23

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: No tip - Bets: None     [OVERALL N/A]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(LAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (L)/34 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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