The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Mar 26 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Mar 26 2008

OUTCOME: +66 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +66]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list: YOU DO THE MATH/2ND. Good result on Aussie bets overnight (classic bet4place.com & bet4value.com day) set up a rest day for me on UK racing that, as it happened, would have resulted in reasonable returns for me additionally.

I have now caught up on February's outcomes but have yet to update the figures here: Summary Day 307 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Feb 06 (Month11Wk1.6Day308Phase08AtDay36) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated [March] deficit -43, Phase 08At (01/Jan/08 to 29/Feb/08) as yet un-updated deficit = -261 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +194 since 01/Jan/06), of which a deficit of -261* is implicit within all of 2008's OVERALL deficit of -327 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Target break-even figure = OVERALL deficit of circa. -16921 pts. Ave. deficit of -c7/day* for Basic Plan over 35 days since 01/01/08; 15 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Mar, 2+?xWin days (including any no-bet days - e.g., Feb 1st & Mar 6th - because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: C/f (Q)/12 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Star Win (C/f (R)/32 pts) + MopUp      BASIC PLAN N/A

Row 2: C/f ?/?pts: Short-list/2nd; FS Win (Now (N)/13 pts) +No MopUp; Capped Place Supplement (Now (M)/34 pts) indicated on what would have been several winning bets but ignored; No Ad Hoc Win+MopUp (C/f (O)/13 pts); Mistakes: Now (Z)/11 pts: Should have backed one Aussie runner on Betfair/2ND assuming they would have paid 2 places in a field reduced to 4; also missed several gaining bets on UK races because I rested (Significant disadvantage); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN -9 [plus OVERALL N/A]

Row 3: Now (W)/22 pts: DIAMOND FRONTIER/2ND,no bets - Bets: Place bet + RS (Now (S)/12 pts) Win+No MopUp; missed 2nd leg/2ND of 123 Combo (Now J/7 pts) on Rows 2 & 3 (Sequential Win Double+No MopUps/LOST); missed Total Place (Sequential) Combo (Now E/9 pts) on Rows 1,&2/WON,no bet     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only I: C/f (N)/43 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic +No Basic Short List 'Combo' (C/f (V)/42 pts)    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I/bet4place.com: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only II: Now (L)/44 pts: YOU DO THE MATH/2nd,no bet GREENBRIDGE/WON,no bet/PROCAS DE THAIX/2ND,no bet - Bets: Capped Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Boxes: C/f (Z)/31 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Cards: Now (C)/30 pts: TUGALU/2ND,no bet GREEN GAMBLE/WON,no bet BLACKHEATH/LOST,no bet - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Place Only III/Naps: C/f (I)/34 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps I: C/f (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps I/Win/bet4place.com: C/f A/10 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps II: C/f (V)/22 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic Win+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only III/bet4place.com: Now (L)/24 pts:  4 tips - 4Pl (incl 0W)0L - Bets: Basic + Place Only  4FAccum+Xtras/WON     BASIC PLAN +70

Zone (RSA): Now D/9 pts: Tip/LOST,no bet (Place Only not usually available for this race via my current A/cs) - Bets: No bet     [OVERALL EVEN]

Misc Tips: (Free Pricewise: C/f (W)/11 pts) No tips; (French racing: C/f (Z)/11 pts) No Tip; (Irish racing: Clf (W)/11 pts) No Tip; (Hong Kong: C/f B/10 pts) No Tips - Bets: None     [OVERALL N/A]

Processed tips (Long Shots)/bet4value.com: Now (L)/13 pts: 4 tips - 4Pl (incl. 0W)0L - Bets: Basic Place Only (except on the race reduced to 4 runners) + Place 3F Accum/WON    BASIC PLAN +7

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: No tip - Bets: None     [OVERALL N/A]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(MAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (M)/34 pts this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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